Dota 2, OpenAI, and AI Time Dilation
We heard yesterday from Elon Musk via Twitter that Open AI made progress versus human opponents at a game called Dota 2.
The most interesting and exciting thing here is the observation of something I'll go ahead and call an AI time dilation effect.
According to the theory of relativity, time dilation is a difference in the elapsed time measured by two observers, either due to a velocity difference relative to each other, or by being differently situated relative to a gravitational field. — Wikipedia
Examples like this one demonstrate the accelerated nature learning that learned models such as OpenAI’s could achieve. In real-time, the new AI bot trained for two weeks. By real-time I mean the clock on your wall as observed by humans. I cannot give an exact translation of that this translates to in Open AI model time. Based on what I’ve been able to read and observe, this represents at least multiple human lifetimes worth of experience.
We've heard the team dog years. So, this is AI years. It's at least one average human lifetime per week in this particular case and probably much greater. I don't have enough information to estimate better.
This particular point is critical to understand if one is to understand just how fast these technologies are likely to evolve relative to historical human experience with technological evolution. If AI can experience lifetimes of experience in weeks, days, or minutes and do so within competitive environments with absolute focus, then AI will evolve very quickly.
For more and most excellent information, the excellent Denny Britz on his blog WildML wrote a post. It breaks down his evaluation of this breakthrough as it really happened and did not happen. It's excellent and it should be your next stop if you want to understand what just happened minus the press hype.
Denny Britz, on his blog WildML, wrote a post that breaks down his evaluation of this breakthrough. It analyzes what really happened and did not happen. It is excellent. It should be your next stop if you want to understand what just happened minus the press hype around AI.
Hi, I am Kent Langley, the author of The 41st Square. This is my blog. Here, I share just about whatever I feel like sharing that comes to mind. It's usually in the areas of technology, data science, autonomy, space.
My work site is at www.productionscale.com. There, I work to apply technology for humanity on projects that educate people, feed people, clothe people, and help cities scale.
