• The accompanying graphic gives a visual timeline layout of where each researcher fell in belief to those timeframes, along with an expanded response on why they do or do not believe that AI will achieve consciousness.
• The majority of responses received (24.24 percent) fell in the 2036–2060 time frame, the next 20 to 40 years; the second highest response rate (18.18 percent) was “no timeframe given”, a safe alternative for researchers who still wanted to respond to the survey but weren’t willing to give a set timeframe.
• They received over 30 responses that fell across an entire spectrum, from the next five years to never.
• If you know researchers, you know they don’t like to prognosticate about future outcomes.
• I am disappointed, because “consciousness” (whatever that is) is unnecessary for ASI (artificial super intelligence).

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