As someone who is actively working in the field of automation (its application, more so than its…
Sten
11

I certianly don’t know what the future holds, but people pretty confidently predicted that by 2000 we’d be living in the Arthur Jensen world and here we are, paradoxically, working longer hours than we ever have before.

I don’t know that that trend will continue, but I would guess that we will continue to find ways to work. It’s what we’ve always done. The difference is that rather than being truck drivers, we’ll be automated truck fleet coordinators, automated truck repair-people, people making the things these trucks are driving around.

Maybe one day we’ll be in a post-work society, but in the short term (next 50 years), I’d guess that lots of jobs will be lost and then many will be gained. Or, if as I’m predicting in this article, we’ll have more people working on things they’re passionate about rather than driving trucks or pressing buttons.

The worst thing we can do is to run away from automation. The best thing we can do is begin thinking about and planning for the future — discuss things like basic income or the future of work, rather than denying it’s going to happen.

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