What Drives Imports and Exports of Bulk Wine?

Georgi’s Conclusion

Exchange rates are part of the explanation. There are other things that influence the wine trade: yields, demand changes, policy (duty drawbacks).

Theory and Reality: Bulk wine 2011–2014

A strong dollar

  • Increases volume of imports and
  • Lowers the U.S. dollar price of imports
  • Reduces volume of U.S. Exports and
  • Raises prices of U.S Exports for foreign buyers in their currencies

Between 2011 and 2014 the dollar gained about 15.5% against currencies of most wine producing countries (weighted by value of imports).

The dollar gained about 7.5% against the currencies of major wine importing countries (Euro, Pound, Yen, Yuan, HK Dollar) • What happened to U.S. Imports and Exports of bulk wine?

U.S. Total Bulk Imports by Month

Chile, Argentina, and Australia are the major bulk suppliers to the U.S. (87%)

Read more at IBWS Show Blog

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