ATP Tennis 2018 August 21
Seems like I managed to find the two guys who were just there to pick up a paycheque on Monday. Or maybe just the two unluckiest players on the courts yesterday. I’m not sure. Millman lost in straight sets to Taro Daniel, a guy he should destroy on hard courts. Millman went 2/7 on break points and double faulted on set point in the second set tiebreak. Daniel went 3/3 on break points. Fucsovics went 3/13 on break points through two sets and apparently decided he was either too frustrated to continue or that his effort had been sufficient preparation for the Open. He immediately got bagelled in the third set.
Benneteau was just a straight bad call. He is more finished then I thought. This was maybe my worst bet of the year.
The east coast North American swing is proving harder than I anticipated when it comes to writing. There were no lines up as we approached midnight last night and so, I have not been able to write during my customary late night hours. So, very little time today.
Albot looks a tad risky. I will saw, though, he looks less risky that Andreozzi. How did Andreozzi beat Fucs? I’m going to be on the Argentine fade again today. Andreozzi struggled with an unknown Brazilian kid and then got pounded by Tommy Paul. These have been Andreozzi’s first two wins of the year on hard courts. I think his luck runs out today. Albot -2.5 games is where I am looking. Neither played a tiebreak in qualifying and as suggested in the outright previews, this tournament doesn’t generate a lot of tiebreaks (only 8 so far in 28 matches).
Taro Daniel should not be here. What a joke that was yesterday. Querrey has very little success to fall back on here in Winston-Salem but, I suspect he’ll cruise past Daniel today. The hard court stats all point heavily in Querrey’s direction and so, considering his struggles at this location, I’ll just look to parlay this.
Sandgren was someone I was looking to actively fade in Winston-Salem as he came in on quite a losing streak and hadn’t actually played a lot of tennis lately. However, he looked sharp yesterday, dispatching of Berankis easily. Dzumhur has been run over in his last two matches by Tsitsipas and Mischa Zverev. Sandgren should have the game to compete today, I’ll take the moneyline.
Rublev is one of my futures. I don’t see him losing here to a young Spanish kid who is better on clay and who struggled through two tiebreaks yesterday against a young Canadian. Rublev should roll through this one.
Gojo looked decent against Fed and I rode him over Sousa last week. He is a much more accomplished hard court player than Zeballos and I am happy to grab the -2.5 games here.
I was pretty close on Medvedev and Mayer but, couldn’t pull the trigger.
Albot -2.5, -125
Sandgren ml, +125
Rublev/Querrey ml, -135
Gojo -2.5, -120