The final appetizer of the day is the Citrus Bowl in Orlando Fl, bringing together the Fighting Irish and the Tigers from the Bayou.
The line for this game opened widely at LSU -2 and it has been moving between -2 and -3 close to kickoff today.
The expected points scored and expected points allowed lean heavily one way.
From LSU -3 to ND -8 is a huge discrepancy. Both teams limit the opposition pretty well but, ND is able to score and it appears that LSU maybe cannot.
The yards per play metric is equally in Notre Dame’s favor and by a decent margin.
The efficiency and defensive metrics are too close to sway the projected spread numbers.
These are all really tight. Where ND might be able to take advantage is when they have the ball in the red zone. It looks like they close the deal more than most when they’re there.
Its hard to say either team is pumped about being here but, a nice trip to warm and sunny Florida has to be a bit of a treat for the Irish considering the alternative is frigid Great Lakes weather. Its hard not to back the Fighting Irishmen today, even if your hot sauce from Louisiana, and if 3 is no longer available, take ’em to win straight up.
ND ml +110,