Rivian Stock Price Prediction 2030: Is RIVN Share Profitable In The Long-Term?

11 min readDec 19, 2023

Rivian, a leading electric vehicle manufacturer based in California, is poised to revolutionize the automotive industry with its innovative all-electric lineup. Leading the charge is the Rivian R1T, an electrifying pickup truck, closely followed by the R1S, an all-electric SUV. Both the R1T and R1S are engineered to conquer challenging terrains while being equipped with an array of cutting-edge technological features. Rivian’s entry into the electric vehicle market with these two models marks a significant milestone in combining eco-friendly transportation with robust performance and advanced technology. Rivian has captured the hearts of both consumers and industry experts with its focus on blending sustainability with exceptional performance. As a leader in the domain of electric adventure vehicles, Rivian is relentlessly advancing technology and ecological responsibility to elevate the driving experience to unprecedented levels.

However, Rivian navigates through a competitive landscape. The EV market’s growth has welcomed robust players like Tesla and Volkswagen, intensifying the competition. Additionally, China’s burgeoning EV sector has introduced prominent competitors like NIO, BYD, and XPeng. This competitive arena has led to significant fluctuations in Rivian’s stock price (RIVN), creating a cloud of uncertainty for investors regarding its future prospects and market trajectories. To provide clarity and insight, our analysis aims to offer a well-informed Rivian stock price prediction 2030. This analysis is designed to guide investors through the volatility of the market with in-depth current sentiment, helping them make informed decisions for a potentially profitable investment journey with Rivian.

Rivian Automotive Inc: A Quick Introduction

Founded in 2009, Rivian Automotive, Inc. is a leading American company that specializes in electric vehicles and intertwines automotive technology with outdoor recreation. Rivian has garnered attention for its innovative electric sport utility vehicle (SUV) and pickup truck, both built on a versatile “skateboard” platform. This platform not only underpins Rivian’s current models but also offers a foundation for future vehicles and potential adoption by other manufacturers. Additionally, Rivian is producing the Rivian EDV, an electric delivery van. The company began delivering its R1T pickup truck to customers in late 2021 and has ambitious plans to establish an exclusive charging network across the United States and Canada by the end of 2023.

Rivian’s headquarters are located in Irvine, California, and it operates a manufacturing plant in Normal, Illinois. The company’s expansive footprint also includes facilities in Palo Alto and Carson, California; Plymouth, Michigan; Vancouver, British Columbia; Wittmann, Arizona; Woking, England; and Belgrade, Serbia.

Further expanding its influence, Rivian is planning to construct a new $5 billion factory in Georgia. Following its initial public offering (IPO) in November 2021, Rivian successfully raised over $13.5 billion, highlighting the significant investor confidence in its vision and market potential.

Rivian: Dominance In EV Market

Rivian Automotive, initially founded as Mainstream Motors in Rockledge, Florida in 2009 by Robert “RJ” Scaringe, evolved through several name changes before settling on Rivian in 2011, inspired by the Indian River in Florida. Initially eyeing a sports car market, Rivian shifted focus to electric and autonomous vehicles, shelving its first prototype, the R1, a mid-engine hybrid coupe.

Expanding rapidly since 2015, Rivian opened research facilities in Michigan and California, and by 2017, acquired a former Mitsubishi Motors plant in Normal, Illinois, for $16 million, focusing on electric autonomous vehicles. In 2017, Rivian announced its first electric pickup truck and SUV, the R1T and R1S, and started deliveries in late 2021. The company went public in November 2021, raising $13.5 billion and reaching a valuation near $100 billion.

Employment at Rivian grew from 250 in 2018 to over 9,000 by 2021. Despite initial delays, Rivian became the first to market an electric pickup in September 2021. In 2022, the company faced executive departures and operational challenges but announced partnerships, like with Mercedes-Benz for a joint venture in Europe, though the plan was later put on hold.

In 2023, Rivian adapted Tesla’s charging standard for its vehicles and ended its exclusivity deal with Amazon, branching out to other commercial customers like AT&T. The company plans to open a new manufacturing facility in Georgia in 2024, aiming for an annual production capacity of 400,000 units.

In July 2020, Tesla initiated legal action against Rivian, accusing them of misappropriating trade secrets and poaching employees. In March 2021, Rivian, along with Lucid Motors, faced a lawsuit from the Illinois Automobile Dealers Association for their direct-to-consumer sales model for electric vehicles.

Further legal challenges emerged in November 2021 when Rivian’s former vice president of sales and marketing, Laura Schwab, sued the company. Schwab alleged she was dismissed after highlighting issues of discrimination and a “boys’ club” culture within Rivian to the HR department. She also raised concerns about the company’s pricing strategies and alleged non-compliance with safety standards in manufacturing processes, which, according to the lawsuit, were initially overlooked until later echoed by male colleagues.

MoU With Mercedes-Benz

In September 2022, Rivian and Mercedes-Benz Group agreed to explore a joint venture to build a factory in Europe for producing large commercial electric vans, featuring a shared assembly line for unique designs from both companies. The New York Times noted this as an unusual collaboration between a traditional and a newer automaker, with Mercedes’ manufacturing expertise potentially aiding Rivian’s production hurdles.

However, by December 2022, Rivian stated that this partnership would not go forward as planned, though future cooperation remained a possibility. Adding to Rivian’s challenges, The Wall Street Journal in January 2023 reported multiple high-level departures, including long-term executives, raising concerns about the company’s stability during a critical growth period.

Rivian Stock: Price History

Understanding Rivian’s share value trajectory requires a glance at its stock price history, though it’s important to remember that past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Rivian went public on November 10, 2021, with an IPO priced at $78 per share, raising $11.9 billion and valuing the company at over $66 billion. On its first trading day, RIVN shares jumped nearly 30%, closing at $100.73, marking one of history’s biggest IPOs.

In the initial post-IPO phase, buoyed by investor enthusiasm for EVs, Rivian’s stock reached a peak near $179.47 by late November 2021, momentarily making it the world’s third most valuable automaker. However, this surge was tempered by a subsequent correction as the market reevaluated Rivian amidst production challenges and increasing competition. By December 2021, the stock had dipped below $100.

The stock’s journey in 2022 was marred by COVID-19’s impact, leading to production and sales slowdowns, with prices falling below $50 by mid-year. Early 2023 saw further decline as key staff departures influenced market perceptions, affecting Rivian’s stock price negatively.

Throughout the first half of 2023, RIVN stock price hovered around $13-$15. However, it triggered a bullish comeback later as it broke the crucial $16 in July, surging to new highs. The price settled near $28 but failed to continue ahead as it faced a selling pressure. In recent weeks, the price has been again surging and it now holds momentum above $20.

Rivian Stock: Technical Analysis

In recent weeks, RIVN stock has been exhibiting an intense buying rally, with no immediate indication of a decline. This upward trajectory is further triggered by the recent interest rate halt and RIVN’s market growth, bringing promises about a potential sharp surge in the stock’s value. A comprehensive technical analysis of RIVN’s stock reveals several promising bullish signals with minor bearish concerns, advising investors to exercise caution when contemplating this investment.

As per TradingView, RIVN shares are presently trading at $22.8, reflecting an increase of over 1.78% in the last 24 hours. Our technical assessment for RIVN stocks suggests that the bullish momentum may continue for the next few weeks, as there is potential for a significant breakout. Analyzing the daily price chart, RIVN shares have established support near the $16 level, from which the stock price may attempt to break through its immediate resistance level. With RIVN’s price having surged significantly above the moving averages, buyers may open more long positions to push the stock’s price in the upcoming days before a new decline surfaces. The Balance of Power (BoP) indicator is currently trading in a bullish zone at 0.06, hinting at a 5% upward correction this week.

For a comprehensive price analysis of RIVN shares, it’s essential to consider the RSI-14 indicator. As this indicator has recently experienced significant buying pressure, it has now surged toward the overbought region and currently trades at 77, implying a clash between bears and bulls for a correction. It is expected that RIVN’s price will soon attempt to correct its price near its 23.6% Fib level to reach its short-term goals. If RIVN is unable to surge above the immediate resistance channel, a downtrend could be on the horizon.

As the SMA-14 continues its fluctuating trend, it trades below the RSI line, potentially holding signals of the stock’s downward correction on the price chart. If RIVN shares break above the $25 resistance level, it could clear the path to $29. A breakout above the strong resistance would propel the share price toward the Bollinger band’s upper limit of $35.

On the other hand, if RIVN falls below the critical support level of $16, a sudden collapse might occur, leading to further price drops and pushing the RIVN share to trade near the Bollinger band’s lower limit of $9. If RIVN’s price fails to maintain trade, it can trigger a more bearish bloodbath.

Rivian Stock Price Prediction By Blockchain Reporter

Rivian Stock Price Prediction 2023

The EV market is anticipated to expand significantly in 2023. Rivian’s innovation and growing production capacity are likely to contribute to this growth. The minimum projected stock price for Rivian is $26, and the maximum is $36, with an average value of $30.

Rivian Stock Price Prediction 2024

In 2024, Rivian’s efforts in the global EV market are expected to bear fruit. The company’s expansion and R&D focus could drive growth, though macroeconomic factors may influence stock performance. The minimum stock price is estimated at $41 and the maximum at $52, with an average value of $46.

Rivian Stock Price Prediction 2025

Rivian’s broader product range in 2025, including affordable models, is expected to attract a wider customer base. The company’s investments should yield favorable results. The minimum stock price is projected at $64, and the maximum at $81, with an average value of $71.

Rivian Stock Price Prediction 2026

By 2026, Rivian’s diversified product line and improved technology are anticipated to enhance its market position. The minimum stock price is expected to be $86, and the maximum $118, with an average value of $100.

RIVN Share Price Prediction 2027

With EV adoption accelerating globally, Rivian’s sales and revenues are expected to increase significantly by 2027. The minimum stock price is predicted to be $102, and the maximum $138, with an average trading value of $119.

Rivian Stock Price Prediction 2028

The shift towards sustainable energy and transportation in 2028 is expected to benefit Rivian. The minimum stock price is predicted at $124, and the maximum at $151, with an average value of $136.

Rivian Stock Price Prediction 2029

In 2029, Rivian’s development of EV technologies and market expansion should enhance its stock performance. The minimum stock price is forecasted at $154, and the maximum at $194, with an average trading value of $172.

Rivian Stock Price Prediction 2030

By 2030, the transition to electric vehicles is likely to bolster Rivian’s prospects. New partnerships are expected to push the stock price higher. The minimum stock price could be $201, and the maximum $224, with an average of around $216.

Rivian Stock Price Target: By Experts

Based on the collective insights of 21 Wall Street analysts over the past three months, the projected 12-month price targets for Rivian Automotive vary. The consensus average target is $25.63, encompassing a range with a peak estimate of $40.00 and a minimum of $15.00. This average price goal suggests a 12.26% increase from Rivian’s most recent trading price of $22.83.

CNN’s forecasts for Rivian Automotive Inc over a 12-month period indicate a median target of $25.50, with the potential to reach as high as $40.00 and as low as $15.00. This median estimate suggests an anticipated increase of +11.62% from the current price point of $22.85.

Rivian Prepares For A Big Move

This past week has seen a significant surge in Rivian’s stock performance, buoyed by increased deliveries and continued high praise for its R1T and R1S models. However, the company’s pivotal moment is anticipated with the unveiling of the R2. Rivian plans to introduce this new vehicle to the public in early 2024.

Scheduled to enter the market by 2026, the R2 is set to be available in both compact SUV and pickup formats, with a price range of $40,000 to $60,000. This pricing strategy positions the R2 as a more affordable option compared to Rivian’s current offerings, which start above $70,000 and often exceed $80,000.

Maintaining the brand’s commitment to versatility, the R2, like the existing R1T truck and R1S SUV, will also feature off-road capabilities.

Rivian’s R2 model is set to transform the company similarly to how Tesla’s Model 3 revolutionized Tesla, shifting towards mainstream manufacturing. CEO Scaringe highlights the R2’s crucial role in increasing production volume. The R2 will also be eligible for the full $7,500 federal EV tax credit due to its domestically-made batteries.

Rivian’s performance is robust, with significant increases in vehicle deliveries and expectations to double its annual output. A partnership with Tesla will integrate Rivian vehicles into Tesla’s Supercharger network from 2025. Additionally, Rivian is expanding its reach with electric van deliveries to Amazon and AT&T incorporating Rivian vehicles into their fleets.

Conclusion

Rivian is emerging as a leading player in the electric vehicle industry, marked by strategic innovations and significant partnerships. With the anticipated launch of the R2, Rivian is not only broadening its market appeal with more affordable options but also aligning with federal EV initiatives through domestically-produced batteries.

Rivian is set to introduce a diverse range of electric vehicle models to meet various markets and needs. A notable aspect of its growth is the partnership with Amazon, resulting in the creation of a custom electric delivery van, with ambitious plans to roll out 100,000 units by 2030. As a result, Rivian is a profitable investment in the long term. However, it is advised to do your own research and conduct experts’ opinions before investing in the stock market.

Source: Rivian Stock Price Prediction 2030 — Is RIVN Share Profitable In The Long-Term?