Impending global collapse — with juicy new updates for the end of 2023

Derek Baum
25 min readOct 11, 2023

My friends, time to make your signs ‘the end is nigh’ and start marching around the streets in your underwear. Unlike most people, I am outlining a bold prediction for collapse and I am including a timeline. I am also not following the general held belief that collapse wont happen suddenly, I think it will. Sound interesting? Read on. I believe a global collapse will start in 2024.

There are many reasons we will collapse suddenly as there are numerous threats to our modern global industrialised society and developed nations which are precariously hanging on by a thread at the moment. Despite the propaganda and mundane presentation of normality you will receive from all the mass media... we are actually about to go through the bottleneck. We are in overshoot. We have destroyed the global ecosystems that support us. We have passed tipping points. A mass extinction is in progress. Biosphere catastrophe.

We continue to harm our ecosphere more and more each day as we party on with an ever increasing population as we make more and more ‘renewables’, consume more and more of everything, shit all over the place and greenwash our way towards oblivion. How much longer do you think we can get away with it? We are about to find out.

Humans keep kicking the can down the road, living in denial, living a delusion, delaying the inevitable painful change we know is coming. Our selfish and foolish human nature is to blame, if only we could discipline and restrain ourselves and act like mature and responsible custodians of the Earth and all our amazing Earthling family. So disappointing, and we are all part of the problem, including yours truly.

Evolution will produce monsters — look in the mirror.

We are going to start running out of food very soon, and when I refer to WE I mean everyone, poor countries AND developed ones. I predict that next year, the shit will start hitting the fan on an unprecedented global scale affecting everyone. Global food production levels will significantly drop over a relatively short period of time and this will take everyone by surprise with a sudden change to our accustomed lifestyles. Tipping points have been passed and doom loops are in progress. Throw away your hopium. Stick some coal up your ass and drink some oil. Our negligence for many years has compounded the impact and sped up the timeline of our destruction significantly. This is why our collapse timeline has accelerated faster than anyone predicted. This is why its going to happen suddenly and far sooner than most people realise.

A short explanation:

Ever since the ‘green revolution’ we have been able to boost our global food production by using our fossil fuels with mechanisation, chemical fertilisers, pesticides and genetic modification of crops etc. which is why our population almost exponentially grew into overshoot and our current predicament.

We still rely on these methods of boosting our yield which are extremely fragile because they are dependent on many ‘now at risk’ factors. The most immediate and severe risk is the impact of global climate change, closely followed by the impact of energy reduction.

So now climate change is smashing us, it wont take long for bad climate conditions around the globe to impact our global harvest. It will only take one bad season for everyone, everywhere. Based on all observations to date, our favourable climate conditions are already over and impacts are already widespread. This will only accelerate in scale and magnitude due to runaway climate change in progress.

Our global industrial civilisation is like a massive Rube Goldberg machine. It is insane that we have constructed such a complex and fragile mechanism to rely on.

So it is obvious to me that most of us wont make it through 2024 without some major impacts to our food supply OR an even worse event

What will the global collapse look like?

I can see two scenarios, not sure which one will start first. The most likely starter will be a traditional collapse which I will unpack now:

Can you guess what the other scenario is? It’s even worse…

Starting in 2024 with global food supply dropping quickly, I am going to call this Stage 1. There will be a common sequence of events unfold in every region during this first stage. By now, there is a high degree of confidence about what this will look like in the first year. Before you read through my bold prediction of events, consider a real world example of what our collapse will look like.

A real world example of what modern collapse looks like provides a glimpse into our future

Consider South Sudan — which is still recovering from a civil war that ended in 2018. While conflict has decreased, localized fighting remains widespread. The country is one of the most fragile in the world. Climate disasters including severe floods and droughts make it increasingly difficult for people to access food and basic resources.

More South Sudanese people than ever before — 7.8 million — will face crisis levels of food insecurity in 2023. Despite severe flooding, destroyed crops and disease outbreaks, funding shortages forced the World Food Program to suspend part of its food aid in 2022.

Conflict across the country also threatens civilians and humanitarian supporters. South Sudan consistently has the world’s highest level of violence against aid workers, hindering their ability to reach people in need.

In my opinion, South Sudan has collapsed, was being propped up by aid, and this was never going to last or solve anything. The key reason for the collapse in this region was climate induced catastrophe and it’s affect on food production, droughts and floods. So now in 2023 the population is in a death spiral of murder and starvation, this is what is coming for all of us. There are several other examples of what a modern collapse looks like, but let’s not delve any deeper — it’s too depressing and we already know what to expect from looking at the South Sudanese.

Stage 1 Collapse (in the first year)

  1. food price inflation (food hording and black market trading and ridiculously high prices)
  2. food insecurity (not enough food, empty shelves, no markets, water shortages) PANIC PANIC PANIC and violence, gangs and killing
  3. emergency services and rationing (the state will setup aid outlets and the police and military will ramp up)
  4. economic disruption and ramped up propaganda (financial ruin and operational failures)
  5. rapid starvation and refugees (people will inevitably start to weaken and then die within a matter of weeks)
  6. total destruction of ecosystems near starving populations (literally everything will be burned and eaten and the oceans will be completely trashed, the 6th mass extinction will rapidly accelerate making everything even worse longer term)
  7. high scale global refugee crisis ensues (a flood of desperate people trying to escape from shit countries everywhere)
  8. political instability (emergence of totalitarian regimes, demagogues will rise)

Stage 2 Collapse (after the first year)

  1. hardening of regional borders and militarisation of the state (totalitarian rule will take over and the last remaining democracies will die off)
  2. severe crime waves, community violence and civil unrest (looting and fighting everywhere, rule of law is tenuous, gangs and war lords forming, lone wolves and bunker people, mad max in some poor countries)
  3. destruction and neglect of infrastructure and land (essential state supplied services like electricity and water supply are either disrupted or gone forever, maintenance stops, roads and bridges and transport are no longer safe or available, many farms are abandoned or destroyed)

Stage 3 Collapse (after 5 years)

  1. Wars and invasions (powerful countries will invade or control weaker countries and take their resources by force, food sources, energy sources and rare earth minerals will be in high demand and worth killing for)
  2. Badlands and wastelands (large areas of the Earth will be filled up with toxic waste, whole regions will be utterly destroyed by mining operations, agriculture and other industrial activities without any regulation or care factor).
  3. A massive die off of Human beings (from 8 billion to less than 1 billion in a couple of years)
  4. Slavery and occupation will be the norm for most of us survivors (welcome to the new world order)
  5. The new world order will start to settle into place (global and regional control by a few remaining powerful dictatorships backed up by military enforcement, something hideous like the Orwellian Dystopia presented in 1984)

It doesn't matter if my timeline is wrong and we have a couple more years of partying to go. It doesn’t matter where you live, or how much money you have. It is clear to me that we will all be subjected to these events in due course. If you have prepared well and if you are in a strong community in a powerful country, then you may have some buffer from the pain, but not for long. No matter how hard you prep or how solid your circumstances are, you will be shaken up and you will be incredibly lucky if you survive this bottleneck. Welcome to Planet Doom - population 10 billion, including me and you. This is why I constantly drink plenty of red wine.

More high quality Doomer porn:

Cities will rapidly implode, they will be the worst places of all. Cities will become gigantic desperate refugee camps. Full of violence, suffering, untreated sewerage and disease.

Small towns and farming regions will be occupied by the military and police. These areas will be plundered by the state and by warlords to feed the refugee camps and control trade of essentials. There will also be conflict on the riverways and oceans, as desperate people compete for fish and anything else they can eat. Warlords and the military will soon take over. Fresh water from river systems and lakes will become inaccessible and unsafe to drink without filtration, this will become a massive killer over time.

To summarise: In a quick time, just a matter of months in most places… civil society as you know it will begin to slide down the slippery slope of desperation as food runs out and collapse kicks off. Total shock and disbelief and confusion will ensue. Millions of people will be starving, fighting and dying in poor countries AND in developed countries where people will be desperately hording supplies.

We are about to witness a horrible transition into a totalitarian future, the dystopian nightmares of a future dark age will fly over us like a large filthy tarpaulin flapping in a storm.

From a broad perspective:

This sequence of events will affect the weaker countries first, who will be hit hardest. Then it will spread progressively to more developed powerful countries who will be able to absorb the impact a little better.

The truth is so well hidden… but as I write this — thousands of people in Straya are still homeless after flooding a couple of years ago, houses still not rebuilt, whole cities in flood zones. Same thing in Murica, so much damage from storms years ago, never repaired, so many houses still broken etc. the hidden truth is out there if you look for it. The propaganda machines will paint a very different picture. Keep paying your taxes and eating your grass, be good little sheep.

The food producing countries who supply everyone will simply stop exporting food once their own food production shits itself.

The strong countries will obviously muscle any weaker food producing countries and take as much of their food supply as possible.

So there will be threats of war and invasions and occupations in the struggle for control over land capable of food production. If someone fires off a nuke, it will become magnitudes worse which is why I don't think anyone will. However I am expecting non-nuclear war of all kinds.

Nuclear armed countries will take over less powerful non-nuclear armed countries. Its not hard to see what the new world order will look like.

From a local perspective:

So I have explained my view of what collapse will look like, I have talked about the events and how it will spread around the world and when its going to start… now I would like to paint a picture of what you can expect in your neighbourhood. This description is for people living in a city or small town.

Get ready muthafukas! If you are not willing and able to fight hard, you aint going to last long. And when I say ‘fight hard’ I mean mentally and physically. So many people are mentally weak. Not ready for what is to come. Mental weakness will be the no 1 reason most people will die. Because all the ‘fortunate privileged people’ are not used to living for even 4 hours without effortless access to food and water and their fucking iPhones. People are going to be super shocked and confused when the supermarket shelves become empty.

Once the collapse ensues, in Stage 1 you will PANIC, everyone will panic. It will only take a couple of hours for the news to spread from person to person across the interwebs and smartphone networks, this will trigger a mass rush and the hording will start super fast. People will race to their nearest supermarket, only the first to arrive will get something and they better get in and out quick, so the odds that YOU will be the first there are very low (note to self — you better prep now). Here is a list of the top 3 places everyone will run to asap once the panic starts:

  1. the nearest market or food outlet
  2. fuel stations
  3. gun shops

Its not hard to predict… people are assholes. They will immediately spring into action. There will be plenty of people who do really stupid things, like run to the bank to withdraw cash. You really need to get your head in the game. This is a fight for survival, a FIGHT, people will go to the nearest shop and TAKE what they want, nobody is going to give a shit about money or the police. This leads to the next thing that will happen in your neighbourhood, the sirens will start and the police and emergency folks will come out to play. Its going to get nasty, very, very fast. Remember — all this will happen in a couple of hours after the panic starts, in your neighbourhood.

Now I am assuming that the panic will start during the day-time. Whenever you wake up, this is when you will discover the news and panic… Don’t underestimate this. The news you discover will be that there is a global shortage of food, you will hear media reports of food running out in America, in Europe in Japan etc. etc. it will be a fucking severe panic because of this. So after the top 3 places have been looted the violence will kick off. There will be emergency warnings and broadcasts, you will probably hear car crashes, helicopters, screaming, yelling, sirens and gun shots. The pandemonium is going to be epic. When the light starts to fade, and the sun goes down most city folk will lock themselves into their homes. People will be afraid. The only ones who will be active outside at night will be the: police, the paramedics and military, the desperate, the foolish and the angry. So if you go out after dark you will be at high risk of capture and detainment or worse, you may get assaulted or even killed.

The day after most food has gone. This is going to be interesting. Depending on how organised your local community emergency service providers are… you may or may not be advised on emergency shelter and food. Hopefully there will be advice on the good old TV or Radio or text messages and the internet referring you to where you can go and what you should do. In many places, the police and the military (agents of the state) will kick off an emergency services plan. Centralised distribution of food and water will be provided, under the protection of the state.

In other places, without adequate or effective state emergency services you will be fucked. There wont be any help for you. So people will need to come out of their homes and roam around confused, looking for food. Inevitably there will home invasions, robberies, murder and all manner of nastyness. There will also be acts of kindness, but in the grand scheme of things — this wont save the day. Friends and family will try and get together. So there will be thousands of people out on the streets, cars everywhere racing around etc. as a result, there will be road closures and accidents. The ability to get in your car and escape or go anywhere will probably not be possible. Most people will have a couple of days worth of food in their homes. A few people will be well supplied, either by luck or because they prepped, these people will stay in their homes. You can expect the number of desperate people to vastly increase after 48hours.

After a couple of days, there will be huge numbers of people lining up for state supplied rations OR people will be out there fighting over food. The old and the sick, the isolated people, the vulnerable, they will die in due course. There will be many weak and wounded, there will be many dead people in their homes, in their cars and on the streets.

I know it sounds overly dramatic for me to advise you of such horrors, but ask yourself how many days can you live without food and water? Have you EVER been cut off from food and water? What if you have a family to look after? What will you do when the pain in your belly starts. Are you just going to stay at home and starve? The average fat spoiled human being in a city wont last one week before they freak out and do something that puts them or others at risk.

After the first week, there will be loads of dead. Fear will have taken hold. Where there are emergency services in operation: most people will do as they are told and a disturbing new routine will start. Lining up for food. Lining up for water. Taking turns watching your property. Family and friends teaming up. Gangs and black-markets are forming. If you are still fending for yourself you will most likely be starving and weak and desperate. We have covered the first few events of stage 1.

What should I do about this up and coming shitshow ?

There is no way we are able to avoid a massive global collapse, so given that we are DOOMED, it is a good idea to make a plan for yourself and your loved ones. I know some people think there is no point in making a plan, for many reasons it is tempting not to bother, it is easy to kick the can and live in denial. If you are one of these people, then let me remind you that we are all going to go through a bottle neck, whether we accept it or not. 9 billion humans in the bottle which must pass through. Consider if you want to try and get through it, or if you would prefer to go with the flow and find out what happens. Ask yourself if you would like to die sooner or later. Are you prepared to die? What about your family and friends? If you want to stick around for as long as you can and save some loved ones then make a plan. You are going to be a victim or a survivor.

In case you are wondering… my choice is to try and get through the bottle neck with my collapse-partners and companions. I want to take advantage of the situation. I can’t stand my lifestyle, I hate modern civilisation, I hate what humans have become, and I am so ashamed and sickened by all the suffering and destruction we are responsible for, I want to burn it all down and I want to survive long enough to see what life looks like in the future. It’s in my nature to fight against all odds, I have a warriors spirit and this is an influence I cannot resist. Additionally, there is that even worse event which I will eventually unpack for you, this is another reason it’s a good idea to try and survive.

If you decide not to make a plan, then this will come back to haunt you later, because when Stage 1 collapse starts, you will be forced to make choices for your survival which means you will end up making a plan in a panic. You will be in a pressure situation where you have to quickly decide: do I stay at home and lock myself in? Do I dash to the shops for some supplies? How do I feed my family? Do I try and escape into the wilderness or go to the countryside? You will not be able to continue your usual routine without interference, things all around you will become very different in an alarming way; and without any pre-prepared plan on what to do, you will no doubt panic and make stupid choices. You will suffer the consequences, so will your loved ones who rely on you. Even with a good plan on what to do, you may still panic and make stupid choices, but let’s assume the panic will initially be hard to cope with and despite this, you will remind yourself of the plan you made, you will calm down, and you will utilise your plan.

Now let me help you with your plan:

If it hasn’t occurred to you already, let me point out that the primary directive your plan will need to address, revolves around people and trust issues. Don't be a silly sausage and jump into making lists of food and supplies and survival gear and where to run… this is stupid, this is not addressing the primary issues first of all, these primary issues of people and trust will dictate all other aspects of your plan. You need to begin your plan by considering who your ‘collapse-partners’ (CPs) are going to be, because trying to survive stage 1 collapse on your own will be near impossible. You need at least 1 other person who is collapse aware and who you can trust with your life, and this person will also need to be able to support you, through a high intensity crisis. I know many people, and out of all of them, I can only think of three people who are suitable to by my collapse-partners. Here are some pointers on selecting a collapse-partner:

  • They have to be a collapse aware prepper, they have to be trustworthy, resourceful, independent, stable, good at fighting, brave, tough, reliable and disciplined. Preferably, someone who has had to live a hard life or struggle against adversity. Someone who has suffered loss and got through it.
  • Don't consider someone who is untrustworthy, unstable, dependant on others, or an impediment to you in any significant way.

If you don't have anyone suitable right now, then you need to find someone useful and try to build a new relationship with them asap. This is the hardest part of surviving the collapse, you must have someone you can rely on, to help you with essential activities that cannot be managed on your own. So write down the names of your collapse partners and put them at the top of your plan now. The next part of the plan will be managing other people in your social circle and your collapse-partner’s social circle.

Make a list of people you are prepared to try and help, think carefully, because these people present this biggest threat to your successful survival. If you try and save some member of your family who is hard to manage, they will bring you down. You need to anticipate the needs of these people you will try and help. It is very dangerous to try and help someone who is irrational or unstable. So when you review your list, callout any issues with each person you have identified and discuss this with your collapse-partner. Anyone who you think may be too hard to handle must be taken off the list, review the ‘collapse-companions’ (CCs) list with your collapse-partners and make sure you all promise to keep your commitment. Unfortunately, most people you love and most of your friends won't be able to survive. You and your collapse-partners can only support a few people who are suitable collapse-companions. This also applies to pets.

Selecting collapse-companions is also really hard to do. Take then same approach you did when selecting a collapse-partner and increase your tolerance to allow for some manageable problems. Your CCs will rely on you and your CPs. Ideally, you want a ratio of 3:5 for CPs to CCs, I rekon the magic number is 8 in total. 8 people who form an effective team can do a load or work and be a force to be rekoned with. Imagine being able to split up into two teams of 4 to either defend or attack or do chores etc. etc. taking turns to do horrible work is much easier spread amongst 8 people. You will want people to keep watch. You will want to supervise while others are working. You are most likely going to lose a couple of people… sooner than you would like.

It is going to be extremely hard to turn away family and friends, to tell them you cant help them, to lie to them. If you give in to your emotions and try and save a bunch of people who are unmanageable, you will pay an even heavier price, you will feel ultimately responsible for their wellbeing and you will watch them all die/bring you down and you will feel the guilt of knowing you made a poor decision that has cost lives when you may have been able to save a few inc yourself.

So what do you do about them? I suggest you make a plan to ignore them, and to turn them away. You are going to have to lie. It’s risky, but the other thing you could do hide a stash of supplies and gear somewhere far away from your location — with the intention of giving them instructions on where to find it, letting them know you plan to get there too if possible… at least this way, you have given them a chance to make it on their own, but honestly — if they are not suitable collapse-companions then they aint going to last long despite your efforts to help; however doing this may make you feel better.

Enemies. I have to say, because this is a no-bullshit and honest story (how refreshing) that you should also prepare a list of your enemies. Once the pandemonium starts and as law enforcement and public controls slide away… there will be some nasty people out there who may choose to pay you a visit. If you have some unwelcome visitors, what are you going to do about it? You could also go on the offensive if you like and hunt them down to remove the threat. Those neighbours you have, the assholes next door, what do you think could happen if they become desperate? You need to be prepared to take action. This means removing potential threats/risks from your environment — nuff said?

Community. Your plan needs to include the local environment around you and it must also include your local community. If you can make it long enough, for the dust to settle, in your area, then you want to establish external relationships. It is really important that you try and fit in with the community around you. You do not want to become public enemy number 1. Rather, you want your group to keep a low profile, and maintain the appearance of being tough but reasonable people to deal with. You want people to trust you enough to trade stuff with you and to cooperate with you on community scale projects and the like.

My non-spiritual advice to you :-)

I say non-spiritual advice because I am a realist, and an atheist. There is no escaping from our mortality, there is no afterlife or heaven to save you. Our beautiful planet is where we came from and it is our only home, there is no where else for us to go. We will die off from starvation, toxic poisoning and fighting. So what advice can I give to you? From this day forward, you should be thankful and accept your fate. For a Doomer like myself, having accepted our inevitable destruction, I now value every moment of every day much more than ever before. Every day I take time to appreciate the trees and the ocean, the mountains and the sky, the animals and insects that still remain in the wild. It is a bitter sweet joy.

So you must accept your fate, and know there is fuck all you can do about it. Only after you truly accept how fucked you are can you stop worrying and stop the existential stressing. Acceptance and realisation of doom allows you to shift gears from depression and apathy to tranquillity and peace. Do your prepping, give yourself a chance to survive stage 1 of the great collapse that is coming, get some popcorn and be entertained, be excited and be ready to play your survivor role in the greatest shit show there has ever been. The worst thing you could do is stick your head in the sand and then be caught in a panic without a plan.

I strongly recommend you start conditioning your mind and your body in preparation for stage 1. Intermittent fasting is great, you better get used to it now becuase you will be going without meals very soon. Martial arts are fantastic for mental resilience and if you train hard, you will feel great, despite the existential stress you are no doubt feeling right now. Learn how to grow food, learn how to hunt, learn how to shoot, you need to cultivate some skills and knowledge in key areas. Play around with tools, take up a hobby, keep busy, become resourceful and become good at dealing with humans. Forge relationships in your community, be kind and know that people are the biggest issue you will have to deal with when stage 1 collapse starts.

What is the ‘even worse event’ ?

It is high time that I told you about the even worse event. What could be worse than a rapid collapse and no food? You remember that thing called Covid? Well… I actually predicted a global pandemic would start, and my prediction was accurate to within a couple of months. I shit you not, I remember saying to my wife, I bet its just a matter of time now before a viral weapon is released.

My best guess is that Covid was deliberately leaked from a weapons lab, or it was released into the general pop somewhere such as a wet market in China, or this may have been a cover story — whatever. The point is, that Covid was most likely an attempt to create a global pandemic to see what would happen, call it a test run or the first phase. This is what seems to have happened. From what I hear, it’s not that hard to engineer a nasty virus, something that could be done by university students, it’s not like the technology and equipment are out of reach of the public. The fact that it still remains unclear where covid came from, and that the origin cant be proven as either a natural or engineered seems very suspicious and is a red flag to me.

So how did I know a pandemic was going to occur? Why do I believe it’s going to happen again? This is because a pandemic is the only feasible solution to our meta crisis. You see, we are in overshoot and the only way to deal with overshoot is to cull the population. If there is no rapid population decline soon we will run out of food and destroy the biosphere. Therefore it makes sense to start the culling now, before we make things even worse. Tipping points are being met, a mass extinction is in full swing, toxic chemicals and plastics are everywhere… and there is no hope for global unification to de-grow or wind down our consumption. Global war is already underway, and how much damage will this cause? Just take a look at the Ukrainian war or the Palestinian war, Nations are fighting for survival and its rapidly getting worse. We dont want resource wars and refugees, starvation, disease and suffering. In light of these facts, the obvious thing to do is to stop humanity in it’s tracks. The best way to do this is to use a viral weapon. I understand this, which is why I predicted a tactical pandemic.

I have written about this grim subject before, read this story for more.

So there you have it. The ‘even worse event’ will be another pandemic, a much worse one than covid. I still beleive this is inevitable, someone will create a nasty virus and seed it into major cities. It is the perfect crime, how can you know who did it? How can you stop it? It’s not a nuclear or kinetic war, it’s biological war, it will leave infrastructure and ecosystems intact. If it’s done well, nobody will know who to blame so there wont be a target for world war III. Depending on the virus used, it could be similar to covid, but far more lethal, the virus may be designed to kill quickly or it may be designed to make you sterile, or it may slowly kill you over the course of a decade, like a cancer. I know this is a pretty dark story, but it’s most likely going to happen so I feel obliged to write about it. The sad reality is that we are already collapsing and facing extinction.

To site just one of the many elements of our doom: how long is it going to take before everyone is infertile and sick because of all those nasty chemicals and toxins we load into the environment?

We are unable to regulate our destructive behaviour, our total collapse is imminent, the only Q is how we will die off and how much damage we will cause to the biosphere as we desperately try to survive.

Once it is released, there will be a big die off, most humans will die. There will always be some people who are naturally immune, even without a vaccine, there will be enough human survivors to carry on our global industrial society. Just imagine what our planet would be like with maybe 100 million people in it instead of 9 billion. A massive global die back would reset the doomsday clock. There would be enough food and water and infrastructure to enable a good future for those who remain. There would be enough people with enough skills and knowledge and enough time to shut down nuclear power plants, disable nuclear weapons etc. I can imagine that once a global killer plague was in full swing and the writing was on the wall, that some sort of global accord on disarmament and deconstruction would be adopted. It’s likely that countries would be forced to hospice their people and wind down their industries. It is also likely that there would be genocide and civil war.

So don't be surprised when this new nasty virus emerges. The best thing to do would be take shelter somewhere safe and try and ride out the first few waves. Having a small crew of resourceful and trustworthy people, with stockpiles, weapons, and a safe place to hide out is what you would want. It may be possible to survive for 6 months to a year if you prep and are capable of survival off the grid somewhere in the wilderness, and after 6 months many millions of people will already be dead and most of the damage would be done. Imagine a stage 1 collapse as I have previously summarised but including a plague.

It would not surprise me if a tactical viral weapon was deployed in 2024, because as I have outlined, we are rapidly destroying the biosphere and if you were to deploy a viral weapon 10 years from now, too much damage would have already been done to realise much benefit. So Ukraine V Russia offers a perfect opportunity to release a virus and the fingers would be pointed at this conflict. So does Israel V Palestine, just release a viral weapon in Israel and blame it on Hamas or blame it on an accidental leak from a military lab.

Finally, just imagine if you are one of the few lucky survivors of the plague, you will inherit everything that remains, and you will have a chance to live your life with more freedom than you have ever had before. There is a very small chance that you will make it, but no chance at all if you don't try. I like to dream about small communities coming together in the aftermath of the plague and living the ‘old way’ much like the Amish with an anti-technology doctrine, permaculture practices and a new found respect for the preservation of the Earth. If I have a chance in the post apocalyptic world, this is the way I would influence things. However I am not deluded, I will most likely die off with the great majority, and I accept that, but I will go down swinging with no regrets.

Finally

I am running out of things to say, so this may be one of my last stories. Let’s brace ourselves for 2024 and get ready to rumble.

I want to see some good people make it, and I want to be there with you. I really hope that anthropogenic planetary destruction comes to a quick end, and it comes soon.

I dream that we can preserve some wilderness and maintain a biosphere that can support as much diversity of life as possible. I dream that the surviving humans will take a new path. I dream that one day in the distant future we have a stable society that lives in balance with nature, self regulating and preserving to prevent a repeat of our past failures.

Until then, enjoy eating your plastic :-) and I would love to receive some responses from you, what do you think and what are your plans?

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