Here’s Why Smart People Believe The Nonsense That Trump Might Win
Ryan Holiday
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Every time seemingly elite establishment types lay out non-facts and present them as absolute truths to an audience and critics they deem as mentally inferior, they’re inadvertently (no matter how more non-facts convinces them and only them otherwise) pushing away the very swing voters they preach are already in their camp.

For starters, this idea that the media has pretended that Clinton has “no real supporters” is probably the biggest lie I’ve ever read on this website. The media continuously rolls out numerous “Never Trump” Republicans to drive their home the idea about Republicans being divided. They never roll out “Never Hillary” Democrats, nor do they explain how if there’s a mass revolt against Trump among Republican voters and complete unity and Kumbaya among the Democratic base why Trump isn’t 25 points behind. But then again, the media assumes most voters won’t ask those questions.

For all this talk about Trump alienating Hispanics and blacks, it’s worth noting that Trump is polling relatively even with Mitt Romney numbers among both groups. Now of course, Romney didn’t win, but then again had Romney’s margin with white voters been significantly higher, it wouldn’t have really mattered what his deficit with minority voters was. This idea that rural and small town working class white voters in Ohio don’t matter as long as Hispanics in Arizona are firmly behind the Democratic candidate is the definition of politically tone deaf.

As for Trump and Sanders being “over-represented” by the media, Sanders’ campaign was continuously labelled as “fringe and un-electable” (despite polling that showed he fared significantly better against all Republicans than Clinton did), was largely blacked-out by the media until he crushed Clinton in New Hampshire and could no longer be ignored, and even then, his supporters were ridiculed as being unimportant because they were largely non-wealthy and white in an age where wealth and racial diversity are more important than bread and butter issues amongst illiberal elites. With Trump, he received more votes than anyone in the Republican Primary ever has, so he very rightfully had the media spotlight. As well, Trump’s delegate and popular vote lead over Cruz was higher than Clinton’s ever was over Sanders, despite the media fan-girling Cruz and Rubio rather regularly.

To get to the overall theme of this article, Hillary Clinton was largely assumed to be Barack Obama’s successor just 2 years ago. In the age of identity politics, having the first woman President following the first black President was a wet dream come true. They did everything they could to make sure that would be a reality. Sure, they fancied with the idea of Cruz and Rubio simply because “first Hispanic President”, and their never ending obsession with the Bush family (and their wealthy campaign contributors) made Jeb palatable, but anyone else be it Trump, Sanders, Kasich, the ghost of Abe Lincoln, was going to be crushed by a press unified in electing Hillary Clinton. The fact that she isn’t 25 points ahead right now is the symptom of a populace disgusted with corrupt know nothing elites and do nothing talking head journalists dictating what their future should entail. Hillary’s only solid swing state is Virginia. Her poll numbers have largely slumped into the margin of error in Colorado, Wisconsin, and New Hampshire, she’s roughly even in Nevada, Florida, and North Carolina, and is essentially behind in Ohio and Iowa.

This idea that it’s tall tales that Clinton could lose is eerily reminiscent of watching Sunday Morning show panelists lecture that Sanders would evaporate after New Hampshire and that Donald Trump had a “35% ceiling” that he would drown under once the race narrowed to 2 or 3 candidates. And yet here we are today with Donald Trump as the Republican nominee invoking the name of Bernie Sanders multiple times during the last Presidential debate.

The only real question at this point is whether you’ll be 90% wrong or 100% wrong in your prediction of this election.