Buy, Sell, Hold: Detroit Lions

Trying to forecast the dynasty stock market can be a daunting process. We have to account for what seems to be limitless variables. Coaching changes, draft picks, age, and even contracts all factor into whether we should buy, hold, or sell a player.

“IT’S JUST BUSINESS. EVERYTHING IS JUST BUSINESS WITH US: BUY FOR A NICKEL, SELL FOR A DIME.” — SPIROS “VONDAS” –THE WIRE

In my opinion, no quote could ever better encapsulate the meaning of “Buying Low and Selling High” than the one posted above. Whereas Vondas was referring to something else entirely, this quote always comes to mind when pondering the trade market. Below I will analyze the buys, sells, and holds from the Detroit Lions. However, I would like to make one point clear before we dive into those players. Each league and team construction will greatly determine if a player is a buy, sell, or hold. I hope this list will help you in your quest to dynasty dominance, enjoy.

BUY

Kenny Golladay, WR

His ADP is steadily climbing, and it is fair to say that the hype train has gotten completely out of control at this point. One week after the NFL draft, I was over drafting him in the mid-3rd round and in many recent drafts, he’s been going as early as 2.02. His ADP here at DFF has climbed from 49 to 30 to 23 in the most recent mock drafts from May, and he wasn’t even being drafted in April. You’re buying at his highest point right now… but I think he keeps rising. He should be a red zone threat from day one in the Motor City and has real upside and should take over the #2 spot by season’s end.

Eric Ebron, TE

Progress has been slow for the 10th overall pick from 2014 out of North Carolina. Slow, yes, but also steady. Looking at the slow climb, it wouldn’t be crazy to think that Ebron could possibly see something in the neighborhood of 80 catches for 900 yards and five scores. That’s roughly 200 PPR fantasy points and puts him in the top 5 range for tight ends. His slower than desired progress means that he should be available at a slight discount from frustrated owners. With this incoming crop of rookie tight ends making waves, you might be able to trade one of the bigger “names” from this class to somebody with rookie fever.

SELL

Marvin Jones, WR

Jones is just kinda meh. The best case scenario is that he has a great pre-season and/or starts out on fire like he did last year and other owners come sniffing around. Move him when you can. He has a limited ceiling, and the Lions (when healthy) have more weapons that will siphon targets away from him. A hot start should get you a decent return.

Ameer Abdullah, RB

I’m just not a fan of his game or his injury history. Luckily, many others out there still believe, and they are willing to pay a premium price too. It was recently reported that the injury that cost him most of 2016 was a Lisfranc tear that required surgery. It’s a complicated injury with mixed results and I, for one, am not waiting around to see how well Abdullah will bounce back from it. Let his believers have him and get yourself something in return.

HOLD

Golden Tate, WR

Tate has been one of the most consistent receivers in football over the last three seasons averaging 90 receptions for nearly 1,100 yards and five touchdowns. Those are very solid WR2 numbers, and there is no reason to think that streak will end anytime soon. He’s one of the most consistent year-to-year performers in the league at his position right now.

Theo Riddick, RB

In PPR leagues, Riddick is one of the better running backs to own. Although his numbers were down last season after a breakout 2015, it was mainly due to the fact that he was forced into more of a traditional running back role after injuries to the rest of the Lions RB corps. With the Lions seemingly healthy at RB, Riddick should be free to resume his role as the primary pass-catching weapon out of the backfield. 80 receptions for 600 yards would not be out of the question. Those reception numbers alone would make him a fine RB3 for fantasy.


Originally published at dynastyfootballfactory.com on June 9, 2017.