The Economic Stress Index is at 5.11 in early August 2017, down from 5.08 in early July, and 6.09 in early June. The lower the index, the better the economy is. The current 5.11 Index is below the historical average of 7.5 (years 1973 through 2016).

Underemployment (the U6) averaged 8.53 the last three months ending with the July 2017 jobs report released early August, and Gross Domestic Product (“The Economy”) was 2.08% higher the last quarter compared to the same quarter a year earlier. Median Household Income was 1.34% higher the last three months of available data (March-April-May) compared…


The Economic Stress Index is at 5.08 in Early July 2017

The Economic Stress Index is at 5.08 in early July, down from 6.09 in early June and 7.35 in early May. The lower the index, the better the economy is. The current 5.08 Index is below the historical average of 7.5 (years 1973 through 2016).

Underemployment (the U6) averaged 8.53 the last three months ending with the June jobs report released early July, and Gross Domestic Product (“The Economy”) was 2.11% higher the last quarter compared to the same quarter a year earlier. Median Household Income was 1.34% …


The Economic Stress Index is at 6.09 in Early June 2017

The Economic Stress Index is at 6.09 in early June; down from 7.35 in early May and down from 7.88 in early April. The lower the index, the better the economy is. The current 6.09 Index is below the historical average of 7.5 (years 1973 through 2016).

Underemployment (the U6) averaged 8.63% in the last three months ending with the May jobs report released early June, and Gross Domestic Product (“The Economy”) was 2.04% higher the last quarter compared to the same quarter a year earlier. Median Household Income…


The Economic Stress Index is at 7.35 in Early May 2017

The Economic Stress Index is at 7.35 in early May; down from 7.88 in early April 2017, and down from 7.99 in early March. The lower the index, the better the economy is. The current 7.35 Index is slightly below the historical average of 7.5 (years 1973 through 2016).

Underemployment (the U6) averaged 8.90 in the last three months ending with the April jobs report released early May, and Gross Domestic Product (“The Economy”) was 1.92% higher the last quarter compared to the same quarter a year earlier. Median…


The Economic Stress Index is at 7.88 in Early April 2017

The Economic Stress Index is at 7.88 in early April 2017; down from 7.99 in early March and up from 7.7 in early February. The lower the index, the better the economy is. The current 7.88 Index is sliglhy above the historical average of 7.5 (years 1973 through 2016).

Underemployment (the U6) averaged 9.16 in the last three months ending with the March jobs report released early April, and Gross Domestic Product (“The Economy”) was 1.95% higher the last quarter compared to the same quarter a year earlier. Median…


Economic Stress Index at 7.99 in Early March 2017

The Economic Stress Index is at 7.99 in early March 2017; up from 7.7 in early February and up from 7.5 in early January. The Index is on the rise as Household Income continues to weaken but Underemployment and GDP hold steady.

The lower the index, the better the economy is. The current 7.99 Index is sliglhy above the historical average of 7.5 (years 1973 through 2016).

Underemployment (the U6) averaged 9.26% in the last three months ending with the February jobs report released early March, and Gross Domestic Product (“The…


No, The Economy Did Not Grow 3.5% in the Third Quarter

Many reporters wrongly say that the economy rose 3.5% in the third quarter of 2016 when in fact it rose only at a 3.5% ANNUAL RATE. The GDP in the second quarter was $16,583.1 trillion and it grew to $16,727.0 in the third quarter. This is a 0.868% change. Multiply it by 4 = 3.472% which is then rounded up to 3.5%. Hence, the GDP in the third quarter grew at a 3.5% annual rate; not an actual 3.5%.

Compared to the same quarter a year ago, the economy…


Economic Stress Index at 7.4 in Early Dec 2016

The Economic Stress Index is at 7.4 in early December 2016, up from 7.1 in early November and 6.7 in early October as Underemployment and GDP held steady but the rise in Household Income continued to weaken.

Underemployment (the U6) averaged 9.7 in the twelve months ending with the November jobs report released early December, and Gross Domestic Product (“The Economy”) is 1.6% higher compared to the same quarter a year ago. Median Household Income was 0.7% …


FBI Hate Crime Data You May Have Missed

2.6% of the 6,885 bias offenses/hate crimes committed in 2015 in the United States were committed by Latinos/Hispanics; 16.3% were committed by Blacks/African Americans; 40.1% were committed by Whites.

The bias offenses were 30.8% anti-Black/African American; 10.6% were anti-White; 10.0% offenses were anti-Jewish; 5.5% were anti-Latino/Hispanic and 4.3% offenses were anti-Muslim/Islam.

Of the 1,492 victims of religious bias attacks, 52.1% were victim of anti-Jewish bias, 21.9% were victims of anti-Islam bias and 4.3% were victims of anti-Catholic bias.

Hate Crimes incidents over the last ten years:

7,722 in 2006

7,624 in ‘07

7,783 in ‘08

6,604 in ‘09

6,628 in ‘10

6,222 in ‘11

5,796 in ‘12

5,928 in ‘13

5,479 in ‘14

6,885 in ‘15


No, Polling is Not Dead!

Polling is not dead. Pollsters just need to 1) be in the field for shorter periods like 3 days; not four-six days and 2) poll up to the last Monday before an election. The late national polls were more accurate than what people realize; just wait for the popular vote count to settle. Most state polls however were old so they missed the late-deciders and with it the outcome. An example is The Trafalgar Group which was in the field in a few states later than others and they called the winner in MI, PA, and FL. However, it is possible they were right also because they are considered a GOP-leaning group and a pro-Trump bias could have helped them. Indeed, they showed Trump winning FL by 4 points but he won it by only 1.2.

See us at www.EconomicStressIndex.com

Economic Stress Index

The U.S. Economy - GDP, Employment, Income - consolidated into one number: The Economic Stress Index!

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