Understanding Bayes’ Theorem: A Powerful Tool for Learning and Decision Making with Examples

Futuris Perpetuum
8 min readMay 21, 2023

Bayes’ theorem allows us to update our beliefs based on new evidence. It helps us to learn from data and make better predictions. It also tells us how uncertain we are about our beliefs, which is important to know when making decisions.

Bayes’ theorem is widely used in many fields and applications, such as:

- Artificial intelligence and machine learning, where it is used to create models that can learn from data and perform tasks such as classification, regression, clustering, recommendation, etc.
- Statistics and data analysis, where it is used to test hypotheses, estimate parameters, compare models, etc.
- Science and engineering, where it is used to model phenomena, design experiments, analyze data, etc.
- Medicine and health care, where it is used to diagnose diseases, evaluate treatments, predict outcomes, etc.
- Law and forensics, where it is used to evaluate evidence, assess probabilities, make judgments, etc.
- Economics and finance, where it is used to model markets, optimize decisions, evaluate risks, etc.
- Psychology and social sciences, where it is used to understand human behavior, cognition, emotions, etc.
- Philosophy and logic, where it is used to reason about beliefs, arguments, knowledge, etc.

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Futuris Perpetuum

PhD in Machine Learning. Portfolio Manager of a L/S Fund. Focused on Technology. Market update, Macro view, Insight | Twitter @futureplaybook