Dr Louis Arnoux
Sep 30 · 2 min read

A “slight detail” to consider here in my view. Many of those kids are unlikely to be still around to ask the question. We have just learned the most up to date climate science (Paris, 17 September 2019) that shows that even if all emissions magically stopped right now global warming would still overshot 2oC by about 2040, which is catastrophic. In my analyses this means that someone born now is unlikely to make it much beyond 20 years old. Time to wake up. There are known ways to address the myriad challenges we face. However, we no longer can avoid a global crash. What remains doable is to assist as many as possibe to extricate themselves from the catastrophe as it unfolds. This requires scientific and engineering knowledge that most people do not have, and a mode of thinking radically other than the prevailing one. What the marching and striking young ones who want “action” do not realise, is that it’s not that elites do not want to act. It’s that they can’t. They lack the knowledge and experience to do so. They do not know how to think and act to effectively address the problems they have created for themselves. Some of us on the social science side of life understood this in the mid 1970s. We understand why this is so. The globalised industrial world is structurally geared to self-destruct. This is now in its terminal phase. What matters is to build something else and to successfully do this requires understanding the core problems in the first instance. The thermodynamic bases of our world are being lost. This is most likely to be over by about 2030. Global warming, a huge challenge, is nonetheless an epiphenomenon of that core problem. None of the myriad threats the industrial world can no longer avoid facing can be sorted out without first addressing the building of new thermodynamic foundations. And this, no current government or big business is in a position of doing. Since the neolithic, all major transitions have always happened thanks to the initiatives of small entrepreneurial groups of people. This is what some of us are focusing on ;-))

    Dr Louis Arnoux

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    Louis is the catalyst and main author for the Cool Planet entrepreneurial collective. Louis and Cool Planet write under the GB collective name (GeeeBee).