DELEGATE POOL: How Multiple Progressives Running Can Be a GOOD Thing For Us in 2020, And Why It Matters
First of all, I can’t take credit for thinking of this concept. That goes to Niko House. Here’s a brief explanation from Niko on how this works.
But why do such a thing when we could just run Bernie?
The answer is fairly simple: while the primary goal is, of course, to ensure Bernie gets the most votes, the field will be extremely crowded. Superdelegates are only barred from the first ballot at the convention.
If Bernie does not get 50%+1 delegate on the FIRST roll call vote at the 2020 convention, superdelegates then get to step in.
And if you think superdelegates are going to suddenly become #woke and back Bernie, you’d be very mistaken. Odds are, this would spell disaster and the nomination of a corporate tool like Kamala or Beto (or even Hillary if — God forbid — she were to run again).
The way around this conundrum is, as Niko points out, to also run multiple progressives in response to the array of corporate candidates who may, similarly, pool their delegates behind a single nominee who nets the most votes.
(Also of note, and why we don’t want to split this up between too many progressives willing to work with us in this pool: the minimum vote percentage to receive delegates is 15%.)
Picture this scenario:
Bernie pretty much stands alone, other progressives drop out ahead of actual voting. Bernie nets stunning wins thanks to Gen Z and all our efforts working our asses off, but reaches…48%. He clearly won the plurality.
But it’s not 50%+1 at the first roll call, so superdelegates get to run loose, and lo and behold, meet nominee Kamala Harris with a whopping 20% of the original vote! Trump may as well be handed two scoops on a silver platter.
Terrible for us and the planet. Instead, let’s picture a better scenario:
Bernie gets 48%, but we also manage to convince a few Tulsi-loving Trumpsters, among others, to bite the bullet and vote in the Democratic primaries for her. We manage to get her about 17% of the vote.
Tulsi and Bernie cut a deal ahead of the first roll call vote — she releases her delegates in exchange for VP and encourages them to back Bernie. Most, but not all do: about 12% of the total delegates at this stage vote for Bernie on the first ballot in addition to the 48% he receives.
BAM. Bernie gets 60%, clinching the first ballot — and now, Bernie is the nominee. Many tears from corporate Dems follow as they flee to Trump’s orange arms.
But what if Tulsi (or another honest face) ends up getting more votes than Bernie during the primaries?
Then we get behind the highest vote-getter among our side. In this example, you would flip the poles — Bernie would release his delegates and likely become Tulsi’s VP instead.
But I think it’s safe to say Bernie at the top is the most likely scenario. In any case, this is how we take the nomination, and then, the White House.
So I say it again: RUN BERNIE RUN!