It seems everyone has their own formula to determine who will win the World Cup. Here are 10 facts to help you make your own predictions.

1. No European team has ever won a World Cup in the Americas.
2. There are 32 countries represented in the World Cup, but only 8 have ever won it. The odds (83%) suggest that one of these 8 will win again. The countries (and their number of wins):
   - Brazil (5)
   - Italy (4)
   - Germany (3)
   - Argentina (2)
   - Uruguay (2)
   - England (1)
   - France (1)
   - Spain (1)
3. Only 12 countries have made it to a World Cup final. In addition to the winners above, there are 4 countries who have made it to a World Cup final but never won, only 1 of which is currently in the tournament — the Netherlands.
4. In the last 19 World Cups, the host has won a remarkable 6 times! Brazil is counting on home field advantage.
5. Two countries have won back to back World Cups: Italy (1934,1938) and Brazil (1958,1962). Spain hopes to be the third.
6. The top 5 teams according to FIFA (as of 5 June):
   (1) Spain
   (2) Germany
   (3) Brazil
   (4) Portugal
   (5) Argentina
7. The top 5 teams according to World Football Elo ratings (as of 2 June):
   (1) Brazil
   (2) Spain
   (3) Germany
   (4) Argentina
   (5) Netherlands
8. The top 5 teams according to the latest betting odds (as of 4 June):
   (1) Brazil (24%)
   (2) Argentina (19%)
   (3) Germany (14%)
   (4) Spain (13%)
   (5) Belgium (5%)
9. The top 5 teams according to the market value of all their players:
   (1) Brazil (509M euros)
   (2) Spain (504M euros)
   (3) Argentina (475M euros)
   (4) Germany (466M euros)
   (5) France (373M euros)
10. Finally, in 11 out of 19 World Cups, the team with the most goals was also the tournament winner. Here Argentina has an advantage with 3 players likely to score the most goals:
    (1) Messi, Argentina (10%)
    (2) Neymar, Brazil (7%)
    (3) Aguero, Argentina (6%)
    (4) Ronaldo, Portugal (5%)
    (5) Higuain, Argentina (5%)

The data seems to suggest that Brazil will win it. But even with a strong team, home field advantage, and historical precedent all on your side, there is one thing you can’t count on — luck! To make your own predictions for the World Cup, check out the Inplayrs app for iPhone.