Strategic Voting Justin Ho Wed Oct 13

“Strategic voting” campaign has yet to endorse a candidate in battleground riding.

An experimental “strategic-voting” campaign has collected 5,321 pledges from residents of the Vancouver-Granville riding, but has yet to decide on whether to back the NDP or the Liberal candidate.

With the express goal of “ending 10 years of Harper rule”, the VoteTogether campaign is organized by independent advocacy group LeadNow. The organization hopes to gather blocs of strategic voters across nine battleground ridings to vote for whichever candidate is deemed to have the best chance of defeating the Conservative candidate.

To determine which candidate to endorse, Leadnow’s methodology has been to contract robocalling company Environics to conduct riding-specific polling.

The latest results for the Vancouver-Granville riding, conducted between Oct 9–11, had the Liberals at 35%, the NDP at 33%, and the Conservatives closely following at 28%. With the poll’s margin of error at +/- 4.4%, the Liberals and NDP were in a statistical tie.

At LeadNow’s downtown Vancouver offices on Tuesday night, volunteers were openly questioning the validity of the polling, with some bringing up the small sample size [505] upon which the results were based on.

They were there for a canvassing training session, as well as to prepare letters and leaflets that recommended Liberal candidate Jody Wilson-Raybould as the candidate with the best chance of beating Conservative candidate Erinn Broskho.

However, LeadNow field organizer Jolan Bailey explained that another group of LeadNow volunteers was busy readying materials recommending NDP candidate Mira Oreck, and that the official decision on which candidate to endorse would not be made until Thursday morning.

“The science of getting people to vote is through contacting them three ways”, said Bailey, as he lead volunteers through an exercise on persuasive door-to-door canvassing. Those three ways are to consist of an email, phone-calling, and door-knocking campaign to be conducted from Thursday through Sunday, which will be in support of the yet-to-be-determined candidate.

Leadnow/Environics polling results

https://s3.amazonaws.com/leadnow/Environics-leadnow-oct-13-15.pdf

Vancouver-Granville Electoral District Profile

http://www.elections.ca/Scripts/vis/Profile?L=e&ED=59036&EV=41&EV_TYPE=1&PROV=CA&PROVID=99&QID=-1&PAGEID=29

One clap, two clap, three clap, forty?

By clapping more or less, you can signal to us which stories really stand out.