KHAZAD
KHAZAD
Jul 28, 2017 · 1 min read

The rally killing home run is crazy. Home runs ARE rallies. In 2016 there were 43,306 innings pitched, and there were 5610 home runs hit. Even if you posited the ridiculous idea that there was only 1 home run per inning, and that no other runs were scored in other ways in that inning, that would be 8742 runs scored by those home runs, which would be 1.559 per inning. Subtracting the “home run innings” from the total would give you 37696 innings in which 13002 runs are scored or 0.345 an inning. More runs scored per inning even not counting the guy that hit it.

Now if you realize that the home runs actually take up a lot less innings than that due to multiple home run innings, and that innings without a home run score even less runs than that because teams DO score runs in other ways in some of those innings, you can see that teams not only score more like 7 times the runs in home run innings, but that base runners who get on during those innings by other methods (either before or after the home run) are twice as likely to score.

    KHAZAD

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    KHAZAD