To start or not to start? That is the Justin Fields Question
There is no doubt amongst the football community that Justin Fields is going to be a great player. Some have considered him to be the best QB in the draft which the Bears stole from tons of other interested teams. Others think he is going to be a franchise player that will turn the Bears around and make them a dynasty for years to come. It seems like his potential is limitless without even taking a snap in a regular season game.
Be careful of the hype.
The football analysts are worried about today without even seeing what tomorrow might bring. Almost demanding Nagy that Justin Fields be the starting QB during the regular season. You can see it on any sports page that you visit. I am here to say, “should he start?”
It’s a question that is going to be over the Bears the entire season until he’s finally playing a game. Any misstep from Dalton will be over analyzed by the sports media and Chicago fans alike. It could be a distraction they need from another season hovering around 500 for the 3rd season in a row. Yes, the Bears need a spark in their offense to turn the ship around, but is Justin the answer right now?
Let’s look at the Chicago Bears insurance policy, their offensive line. Depending on who you ask, they are either in the bottom half of the league or dead last in that category. Picking up a few good linemen in the draft and signing another after one preseason game. Can they be good enough for the untested first round pick? Maybe.
I think the expectations might be a bit too high for him and the team as of now.
We’ve also seen countless times of a rookie QB getting hurt because they want to put him right away. It literally happened last year with the adopted son of the bayou, Joe Burrow. How is that like the Bears? Well, they had a terrible O-Line. In his first 11 starts, he took 32 sacks (t-2nd most) and 42 quarterback hits (t-5th most). Not really what you want for your possible franchise player.
Even if we could manage a top O-Line, is that really going to help the Bears too? From the past seasons we’ve seen that the QB was never the problem. The play calling was a big factor. Running up the middle, play action pass, or a screen pass were the only plays that we could manage last year. Pretty easy to guess what might come next when there are only 3 options.
Can you remember the last rookie QB that made a deep playoff run? The last one was almost 10 years ago back in 2012 with Russel Wilson and Robert Griffin III. Wilson’s record that year in the playoffs was 1–1. RG3’s was 0–1.
Granted, having a good rookie QB probably means that you’re in a rebuilding phase of the team. They probably aren’t the best all around and the QB can’t do everything for the team, like play defense and that sort of thing.
Rookie QB’s have a low percentage when it comes to playoff wins anyway. Coming in at 35% chance of winning in the playoffs. There hasn’t been any rookie QB to win an AFC/NFC championship game, let alone a Super Bowl. Yes, Justin could be the odd one out, there is always a chance of that happening. How good of a chance is that? Probably not much.
Some things are worth waiting for. I would love to see the Bears winning consistently as much as the next guy. I’ve seen them suck for so long, what does another year do? Patrick Mahomes didn’t start until the end of his rookie season and look where he is now. Aaron Rodgers didn’t start right away, nor did Tom Brady. Yes, I’m cherry picking a bit with great QBs who didn’t start game one of their rookie season. There are tons of others who did start and play well for their team. It’s a case by case situation.
Over the years rookie QB’s had to start because they were literally the only good option. But we do have “good” options with Dalton and Foles. Are they going to get us into the playoffs? Probably not. Are they going to help us get to the next season and potentially coach up Fields? Maybe. That would truly be the ultimate goal.
I understand how much fun it would be to watch Fields, it would make my Sundays more interesting seeing him slinging it down the field to Robinson. But I am ready to wait it out for something better.
Not every season is competitive in any major sport but you always hope that it can be sometime soon. Only time will tell.