How often does a Doug Jones win flip the Senate in 2018?

Le Petit Anglais
Dec 11, 2017 · 7 min read

Tim Kaine Isn’t Losing Virginia

In 16 out of 50,000 sims Dems pick up 6 seats. 1 out of the 50,000 had them losing eight seats. Ouch!

The Political Climate Is Really Really Important

The Dems have a chance — thanks to Donald Trump

Other factors

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