Toncoin Defies the Bear Market, Reaches New ATH! šŸš€ | Fundamental & Technical Analysis

Market Waltz
4 min readJun 14, 2024

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In the shadow of a bearish market, TON has quietly but steadily climbed, leveraging Telegramā€™s vast user base of 900 million. This strategic growth has propelled TONā€™s daily active addresses past those of Ethereum, highlighting the cryptocurrencyā€™s unique position. At its heart, TON is a wager on Telegramā€™s expansive distribution network. Though the ecosystem is still in its early stages, the initial signs of growth are undeniably promising.

Moreover, the rise of blockchain-based games like NOTCOIN within the Telegram platform has significantly boosted TONā€™s growth potential. These developments have enabled TON to achieve its new all-time high (ATH), even as the broader market remains stagnant.

Stay with us as we delve into an in-depth technical and fundamental analysis of this exciting cryptocurrency. šŸŒšŸ“Š

Pavel Durov: The Visionary Billionaire Behind TON

Pavel Durov, the enigmatic billionaire and founder of Telegram, is a living embodiment of decentralization and freedom. Known for his strong stance on privacy and liberty, Durovā€™s lifestyle reflects his principles ā€” he doesnā€™t own personal property like a house, underscoring his commitment to a borderless, free society.

šŸŒ Seamless Integration: One of TONā€™s standout features is its ease of integration into daily life. With in-network payments, users can effortlessly conduct transactions within the Telegram ecosystem. This seamless payment system enhances the user experience, making it straightforward to send and receive funds, pay for services, and participate in blockchain-based activities without leaving the app.

šŸ’ø Ad Revenue: Telegramā€™s new ad revenue model for public channels is another game-changer. Conducted with TON payments, this model allows channel owners to monetize their content effectively, creating a sustainable revenue stream. This not only incentivizes content creation but also drives demand for TON, as advertisers and channel owners alike utilize the cryptocurrency for transactions.

šŸš€ Expanding Ecosystem: The potential for TONā€™s growth is amplified by its integration with various applications and services on Telegram. For instance, blockchain-based games like NOTCOIN are rapidly gaining popularity, driving user engagement and transaction volume. This synergy between Telegramā€™s massive user base and TONā€™s innovative solutions creates a fertile ground for exponential growth.

šŸ”’ Security and Privacy: TON leverages Telegramā€™s robust security protocols, ensuring that all transactions are secure and private. This focus on security reassures users and fosters trust in the ecosystem, further boosting adoption.

As we continue to explore TONā€™s potential, itā€™s clear that Pavel Durovā€™s vision and Telegramā€™s extensive reach are key drivers behind its remarkable ascent. Stay tuned for our detailed technical analysis of this promising cryptocurrency. šŸŒŸšŸ“ˆ

Technical Analysis of Toncoin:

šŸ“ŠDaily Time Frame:

In the daily timeframe, we are witnessing a clear primary uptrend (long-term trend) in TON. The successive higher highs and higher lows confirm the bullish trajectory, with volume supporting the upward movement and decreasing during corrections, indicating strong bullish momentum. Recently, we observed an Ascending Triangle pattern, which has broken upwards, confirming its bullish continuation.

According to this triangle pattern and its alignment with Fibonacci and other parameters, we can set the initial target for TON around the $10.800 range. Furthermore, in higher timeframes, Fibonacci extensions suggest potential targets at $21.404 and $50.406 for this cryptocurrency.

This technical setup suggests a robust bullish outlook for TON, supported by both pattern analysis and Fibonacci extensions, pointing towards significant upside potential in the near to mid-term.

āš”Four-Hour Time Frame:

In the 4-hour timeframe, as we know, coins often hit their all-time highs (ATH) in bull runs, making it challenging to find clear entry triggers. However, I want to share with you a simple and proven strategy that can yield profits.

In Dow Theory, if we identify higher highs and higher lows, it indicates an uptrend, and lower highs and lower lows signify a downtrend. Similarly, we start by identifying the primary trend in weekly and daily timeframes (which is bullish for TON), and then we look for favorable positions in smaller timeframes.

For instance, if we observe higher highs and higher lows, we can look to enter at the breakout for a long position. Itā€™s important to wait for confirmations along this path. Confirmations such as RSI for momentum confirmation, volume for trend confirmation, and candlestick patterns indicating buyer or seller strength are crucial.

Itā€™s as simple as that! This strategy focuses on aligning with the primary trend and waiting for suitable entry points supported by technical confirmations in smaller timeframes.

šŸ”» Key Support Levels:
7.549 , 4.849, 3.429

šŸ”ŗ Key Resistance Levels:
10.800

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Last Analysis
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Market Waltz

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