Why I’ll Not Be Voting For Labour

EU Parliament Hemicycle (cropped) by David Iliff (CC BY-SA 3.0)

Later this month Elections will be held for the European Parliament, and the United Kingdom will be taking part. The Labour Party have been asking for people to vote for them to ensure that Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party do not “win” the election. I will not be doing so.

The obvious reason for this is that I am a member of the Liberal Democrats, however this is not my reason. I am at heart a pragmatist and in the Last General Election, knowing that I was in a Tory/Labour marginal, I lent my vote to the Labour Party candidate who successfully took the seat from the Conservative incumbent.

No, the reason is that as an ardent remainer, I am unable to support a party that is still supporting Brexit.

Now some people tell me that Labour is “moving in a Remain direction” due to their policy of support for a People’s Vote, however their policy as a whole is still to enact Brexit without a vote. They will only support a confirmatory referendum if a number of things happen, all of which are not their favoured option.

I’ve tried to make sense of their policy and I believe that this flow chart successfully depicts it

Starting at the top. Labour are currently engaging in talks with the Government to achieve a Brexit deal, specifically a deal involving a customs union. If they wanted this not to succeed, they would not engage in the talks, thus I am forced to conclude that Labour is “Trying to bail-out” the Tories.

If the talks fail, then Labour will push for a General Election. I don’t think it is controversial to suggest that Labour hope to win such an election. If they win their plans are to enact their Brexit vision,

Labour has put forward an alternative plan to seek a close and cooperative relationship with the European Union, including a new comprehensive customs union with a UK say, close single market alignment, guaranteed rights and standards, and the protection of the Good Friday peace agreement in Northern Ireland — https://labour.org.uk/manifesto/transforming-britain-and-europe/

If they lose such an election they are in the same situation as currently so I have merged the two paths in the flowchart. Only if all of this fails will Labour support a public say which will include the option to remain

The only path that leads to revoking article 50 and for the UK to remain in the EU, is for Labour to not form a government. Thus, as a remainer, I can not lend them any support that they could interpret as an endorsement of their Brexit views.

If any of my analysis is incorrect I would welcome informed contributions and will be happy to update this article

So who to vote for. Well, the form of Proportional Representation that Blair’s Labour government introduced for EU referendums, is the D’Hont Party List system. While with many member returned in a constituency this provides a good level of proportionality, with small constituencies it favour larger parties. This is why splitting the vote can be disastrous. (Personally, I much prefer the STV system that Northern Ireland use)

Image a constituency with 3 members (such as N.E. England). 45% of the population wish to leave. There are two leave parties Leave 1 at 30% and Leave 2 at 15%. The majority (55%) wish to remain but support is split equally between 5 remain parties. The result is that all returned members will be Leave, despite the majority of people voting against them.

This is why I was so disappointed at Change UK’s unwillingness to co-operate with other parties to produce a unified remain list. So who to vote for. Well I am lucky, I am in a constituency with 8 members so the results should be more proportional, and my preferred party, the Lib-Dems, looks to be in the best position to win out of the remain parties, which independent research seems to back up

Anyway, I can’t tell you who to vote for, but please do your research, and please vote on May 23rd

London-Based Web developer originally from Essex. Radical Liberal, Confirmed Geek, Proud European. Not the animator, that’s @TheWeebl