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I think the most difficult part of drafting fits in with Tjark and O’Connor’s discussion on their pod after the draft: most high-lottery picks are ball-dominant players, obviously, because if they’re good enough to be high-lottery picks, they probably have the ball a lot!

If you’re a team perpetually in the lottery (Hi Sixers!), you already have ball-dominant players on your team, so drafting more ball-dominant players is going to be duplicative and harmful to your team’s development.

There is a reason most off-ball great wings and guards (elite big men are different) are not drafted at the top of the lottery. Klay was taken 11th, Iggy 10th, Giannis 15th (even though he has since become a point), Kawhi 15th (developed a ball-dominant game to fit his team’s needs), Paul George 10th, Draymond 35th, etc…

Guys like Draymond (or wings with elite athleticism) who seemingly aren’t highly skilled ball-handlers and shooters tend to fall in the draft (which continues to be perplexing). MKG is a modern exception to this, but he possessed elite physical talents in a weak draft (after AD) and he had the spotlight of playing on a dominant title-winning team.

So when teams aim to draft a guy like Draymond, it is going to be a crapshoot to see if the rest of their skill game develops to a point where they are a versatile weapon and more than just an excellent on-ball defender.

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