My original bitcoin thesis and my view on what is next…
As the dominant cryptocurrency in this new regime, Bitcoin surfaced in 2009 and thus began a revolution in the form of a grass roots type of effort which has grown into an over $200 Billion industry of publicly traded blockchain tokens / crypto assets. The industry is substantially larger when taking into consideration the mega-companies including the likes of Bitmain, Coinbase, Binance, and so on (Bitmain is working on an IPO and Coinbase just raised at an $8B valuation).
Many renowned academics, researchers, and professionals claimed bitcoin was dead over and over — but those of us who have been involved in the industry for at least a few years understand that the recent downturn is simply part of a consolidation process which has historically represented a preparation for greater growth. Simply put: programmable, global, decentralized (or not), digital currencies will be a multi trillion dollar market. Further, while it is quite difficult to change the core code which bitcoin was built upon, the protocol continues to evolve and develop over time through the development of 2nd layer applications along with other technical improvements.
Bitcoin now boasts one of the strongest and most secure networks ever created due to the immense compute power dedicated by independent stakeholders (miners) to maintain the network
I was originally drawn to bitcoin in 2014 after the first few hype cycles — and was able to build a position around the $200 lows of that cycle. I was drawn to the asset for a variety of reasons including: economics, technology, ideology, macro — and ran this investment through a variety of my filters which I had previously used to source public equity investments. Bitcoin passed with flying colors and I added it as a position to my portfolio. From 2014–2018 I utilized a diversified strategy which I coined, a strategically skewed market weight cryptocurrency and crypto-derivative portfolio — this portfolio outperformed the broad cryptocurrency market by over 35% since origination. I have a new product and strategy that my team is currently working on and will be happy to share more about this in due time. See my bitcoin investment thesis diagram below.
Bitcoin has had an exceptional run since inception — I continue to be highly bullish on bitcoin in the long term as more application grows, and am also a believer in the digital gold store of value thesis. At the same time, I am genuinely curious what changes Satoshi would have made, considering all we know now...
In brief, I believe this crypto to be a better bitcoin for 3 reasons:
Economics: With daily price descending auctions providing the liquidity for global inclusion and a long term inflation target of 2% mimicking what central banks aim for in delivering a stable economy and currency — Metronome is, as the founders say, “Built to last”. Additionally, the autonomous converter is a brilliant feature which works to provide additional liquidity and price support
Technology: As a blockchain autonomous cryptocurrency, Metronome is building an ecosystem that will allow it to sit on top of many competing blockchains. Thus, it is not dependent on one blockchain, but is fluidly providing the infrastructure to be able to be a complement to many of the leading blockchains of the future
Klout: Many in the industry underestimate the correlation between the klout of a founding team and the success of a particular cryptocurrency — in this case, the founders have both been in crypto since the early days and know the industry better then 99.99% of the field. In more commonly used industry verbiage, they are SUPER OG’s
Valuation: The market capitalization is coming in at about $15.5m for current supply and $78.5m in Y2050 fully diluted terms (see onchainfx for description). This equates to about a 1 basis point or 0.01% penetration of the public token space. Given the world class economics, tech, and founding team of this project — we have a high level of conviction that this will very likely be a top 50 crypto, it is just a matter of time. With expected product launches later this year and early next year, this massive upside potential will have an opportunity to be realized. I will leave the below image without comment in an effort to illustrate my bullish thesis:
DISCLAIMER: I have long positions in both of the cryptocurrencies mentioned above, and plan to continue adding to these positions. Do your own research or speak to your financial adviser before investing in anything.