Passionate about innovation and creating a world of Abundance. Companies: XPRIZE, Singularity University, Planetary Resources, Human Longevity Inc.
Humans are famously bad at predicting the future of technologies.
We tend to overestimate technology’s abilities in the near-term, and massively underestimate what it can do in the long term.
Ray Kurzweil has a documented 86% accuracy rate in his technological predictions.
“Of the 147 predictions that Kurzweil has made since the 1990’s, fully 115 of them have turned out to be correct, and another 12 have turned out to be…
In May 1961, President John F. Kennedy announced the seemingly impossible goal of putting a man on the Moon by the end of the decade.
Nobody knew how that would get done.