Why are all Those Red States Turning Blue this Election?

Most political analysts could give you a boat load of reasons as to why Hillary is leading in a lot of states once considered safely Republican. The fact that her opponent is hands-down the most inexperienced presidential candidate of all times could be a leading reason. But also, lots of these states have changed their demographics. Intense Hispanic immigration has helped to transform some of these red states into blue states. Other reasons are at play as well.

Utah is made up of lots of Mormons. As the old political saying goes, “Mormons and Utah vote the same”. Mormons, have arguably been some of the most devoted Republican voters in the country. They have not voted for a Democratic president since Lyndon Johnson in 1964. But that might change this election, as Mormon’s religious faith strongly disagrees with Trump’s platform to obliterate the Muslim faith from America. As a result, Hillary and Trump are neck and neck in Utah.

A week ago, a shocking poll gave Hillary a seven point lead against Trump in Georgia. A few days before that another poll gave Hillary a four point lead in Georgia. Mitt Romney won Georgia by seven points! Georgia, like Utah, has historically been a safe haven for Republicans. Georgia has not voted Democratic since 1992. In 2000, Georgia was 64% white. Today, that number has dropped to 54%. A changing economy in Georgia has welcomed a migration of workers, many of which are minorities.

Virginia also has been a safe Republican state. Between 1952 and 2004, Virginians voted Republican in almost every election. That changed with Obama. Also, now that Tim Kaine, Senator from Virginia, is Hillary’s running mate, Virginia will vote Democratic.

Polls show Hillary beating The Donald in Arizona, a state that has voted red for 20 years. A new poll from OH Predictive Insights/MBQF, has Hillary up three points.

Missouri is a bit of a stretch for Hillary, but it is definitely a possibility that she could turn this state blue. A Mason-Dixon poll, taken on July 24th, showed Hillary ahead of Trump by a point. A March poll had the two tied.

Mississippi has voted Republican in every election for the past forty years! But a Mason-Dixon poll taken March 30th, showed Trump ahead by just five points. Political analysts expected a much larger lead in such a red state. But this is just one poll.

Is Trump in trouble? Yes.