2016 Kerala assembly elections- Counting day

If you are looking for reasons for the NDA surge in Nemom, look at UDF’s vote share there and the lead gained by V.S.Sivakumar in the adjacent Thiruvananthapuram. Also, remember what happened in the local body elections. The saffron trojan in the UDF camp will help BJP open its account in Kerala.

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Lal salaam!

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The fact that 34,000 people in my city voted for someone like Sreesanth disturbs me no end! What has blinded them all!

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Kerala has started to reap for that one blip today. Bomb attack on CPI(M) rally at Pinarayi. One CPI(M) worker dead. Four injured.

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തിരോന്തരമോ, ഏത് തിരോന്തരം? രാജഭരണം ഇപ്പോളും നിലനിൽക്കുന്നു എന്ന് വിശ്വസിച്ച് “രാജാവിന്റെ” മുന്നിൽ തല കുമ്പിടുന്ന തിരോന്തരമൊ? അതോ, ഡെമോക്രസി വന്ന് 60 വർഷം കഴിഞ്ഞ് ഒരു മാടമ്പി പാർട്ടിക്ക് വേണ്ടി ആദ്യമായി വോട്ട് ചെയ്യാൻ ഇറങ്ങിയ “രാജ്ഞി” ഉള്ള തിരോന്തരമൊ? അതോ, ഒരു തിരുമണ്ടൻ കളിക്കാരന് 30,000 വോട്ട് കൊടുത്ത തിരോന്തരമൊ ?

ഞാൻ ഇപ്പൊ തിരോന്തരം ആണെന്നെ ഉള്ളൂ ..എനിക്ക് നേമവുമായി ഒരു ബന്ധവുമില്ല …പക്ഷെ തൃശൂർ അങ്ങനെ അല്ല …ഞാനും തൃശൂരും തമ്മിൽ കാലാകാലങ്ങളായുള്ള ബന്ധം ആണ് (കടപ്പാട് — മോഡിജി) ..കൊല്ലം പിന്നെ പറയണ്ട…!

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When the red wave was sweeping Kerala today morning, I was stuck in perhaps the least desirable place to be in at that point of time — inside an RSS shakha in Nemom constituency, where BJP candidate Rajagopal was leading, watching the results on Janam TV, with a batch of sanghis who were ready to burst out in celebrations any minute. Sat there hearing the stories of their “struggles” to gain a foothold here for the past two decades. Friends from elsewhere were ringing me and blaming the ‘Thirontharam people’ for spoiling the red party, all of which I listened to silently. All through the two hours there, I mirrored the expression on their anxious faces which constantly asked “will he win?” Although my anxiety also was around the same question, we were wishing for opposite answers. And, when he won, had to put up a happy face. Learned the meaning of the phrase “occupational hazard” the hard way.

The detour to Kattakkada on the way back, where LDF candidate scored a major win against the assembly speaker was the minor consolation.

But, managed to end the day on a happy note typing this line — “Chief Minister Oommen Chandy to file his resignation at 10.30 a.m. on Friday.”

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It’s not enough to just look at the UDF vote share at Nemom in 2011 to analyse how BJP won that elusive seat in Kerala today. You have to go further backwards to 2006 assembly elections to see the real picture.

2006
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UDF — 60884
LDF — 50135
BJP- 6705

2011
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LDF- 50076
BJP — 43661
UDF — 20248

2016
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BJP — 67813
LDF — 59142
UDF- 13860

Between 2006 and 2011, 40,000 votes from UDF’s account went up in the air. What we witnessed today, while the lotus bloomed, was the continuation of a process that was started in 2011.

It’s important that the Congress survive the trojans that has entered it. Though the Congress is not concerned about all that, at least we are.