The economic fundamentals aren’t against independence. However, the illiterate economics of neo-liberalism absolutely are. The SNP being a firm supporter of those of course. Most people I know (and me) saw independence as an opportunity to address the flawed neo-liberal logic; SNP were a route to that. The stupidity of “sharing the pound” was easy pickings for the main-stream press, as was the more sound, logical and correct choice of creating their own currency through project fear and the utter mis-understanding and mis-teaching of monetary policy throughout the UK. Independence was, and is, completely viable economically and politically regardless of oil production or any other sector. Saying that, I’m cautious as to whether Scotland will leave the UK or not and wouldn’t be at all surprised to find you’re correct in 30 years time! I think two things may persuade Scotland to leave:

1. The inevitable financial crash. More specifically: when there is another bank bailout. This will really lift the veil (as if it isn’t already) on the idiocy of our financial system and increase the hostility toward the city
2. A leftist outlier party comes into the fold and provokes discussion on monetary policy, automation and universal basic income. This will pull the discussion to the left and make the case for independence (again, not an SNP case) more eloquent and real.