Charlie Cook, “Surfs Up for a Wave Election” , May 11, 2016

Here is how to be a “hack” and turn a piece that says POTUS and Republicans are losing this election that Democrats are trying to hand them into what the Vozdh wants to hear:

[Let’s not get into any dumb wars and look corrupt with a failing economy and we won’t get the 2006 thumpin’ that these GOP establishment ‘critics’ from Bush era got] (“Pop­u­la­tion pat­terns play an even big­ger role [than Gerrymandering]. Demo­crat­ic voters tend to be con­cen­trated in urb­an areas and col­lege towns while Re­pub­lic­an voters are more ef­fi­ciently al­loc­ated throughout the coun­try. Gen­er­ally speak­ing, midterm elect­or­ates are older, whiter, more con­ser­vat­ive, and more Re­pub­lic­an than pres­id­en­tial elect­or­ates. But Re­pub­lic­ans still can have bad midterms: Pres­id­ent George W. Bush’s second midterm elec­tion in 2006 was a hor­ror show.”)

[The big unknown, usually tied to pocket book so it’s get the tax cuts done and take credit for a positive economy because if the economy isn’t going well House 2018 is harder](“We don’t know what Pres­id­ent Trump’s job-ap­prov­al rat­ings will be in the fall of 2018.” )

[Trump loyalty and GOP friendly composition of electorate is the bullish case for House Republicans. Trump voters identify with Trump not the GOP so will be similar to Obama coalition] (“A big ques­tion is wheth­er Trump voters will be­have like Barack Obama voters. In 2008, a lot of fresh new voters came on­line to elect Obama, but in 2010, when his name was not on the bal­lot, they stayed home. When he was up for reelec­tion in 2012, they turned up at the polls again, then didn’t show up in 2014No one needs to be re­minded that Demo­crats had good years in 2008 and 2012, and hor­rif­ic years in 2010 and 2014. Will the Trump voters who turned out in 2016 do so again when he’s not on the bal­lot?”)

[The Bullish case for Democrats is that their base is motivated and Republicans are considering retirement. Your leadership is needed to keep the base motivated with rallies and to keep spirits up with House Republicans who are hearing noise that suggests they lose so are retiring instead] (“The Demo­crat­ic base seems highly en­er­gized while the Re­pub­lic­an base is in the Slough of Des­pond.”+ “There are ru­mors that a dis­pro­por­tion­ate num­ber of Re­pub­lic­an House mem­bers will re­tire while Demo­crats may stick around to see if they get back in power. Usu­ally it’s easi­er for an in­cum­bent to hold onto a seat. And while a large in­flux of first-time Demo­crat­ic can­did­ates is emer­ging, Re­pub­lic­ans who as­pire to Con­gress may wait for a more pro­pi­tious time to run.”)