Part 2

But really all of the detailed policy/tactical stuff is irrelevant. You can tweak all of that stuff as you discussed above but it doesn’t matter as voters mainly make up their minds within the first few months of a leader being elected. And their view of Corbyn is very unfavourable.

All those negative stories about Corbyn you saw in his first few months as leader? Those were nothing. The Tories have a big file on Corbyn and will leak more stories at the next election. Corbyn’s/Labour’s poll rating haven’t even hit rock bottom yet.

Most voters have neither the time nor the inclination to follow politics to that level of detail. This is why our politics has become more presidential in recent decades — voters mainly want to know if the leader will be strong and competent, keep the country safe and keep the economy growing. Corbyn fails on all counts so he has no chance of winning a general election (and never did).

So I agree with you that it’s a binary choice. It’s a choice between:

a) Labour being led by Corbyn who has zero chance of winning an election, will likely usher in another 10–15 years of Conservative government (at a bare minimum) and achieve the worst result for Labour since 1983, maybe even since 1931

b) Labour being led by a new moderate Labour leader who has a slim chance of winning. Even if they lose they can start to undo the damage done to Labour and return Labour to being a credible party of government again. Otherwise there is never going to be another Labour government.