Iran is #@*&ed
I’m still reading David P. Goldman’s (online columnist ‘Spengler’) How Civilizations Die (and why Islam is dying too). I know; his chapters are short. (just read chapter 4) I might read more chapters at a time next week, but each chapter is so illuminating.
Under the facade of radical Islam, Iran suffers from an eruption of social pathologies such as drug addiction and prostitution on a scale much worse than anything observed in the West.
The book was published at the end of 2011. So all of these numbers are before the last five years of sanctions! I can only imagine Iran being worse off now.
Spengler’s Universal Law #8: Wars are won by destroying the enemy’s will to fight. A nation is never really beaten until it sells its women.
From two investigations by Austrian daily Der Standard, released February 3, 2009:
Eighty percent of the Tehran sex workers maintained that they pursue this career voluntarily and temporarily. The educated ones are waiting for better jobs. Those with university qualifications intend to study later, and the ones who already are registered at university mention the high tuition as their motivation for prostitution…they are content with their occupation and do not consider in a sin according to Islamic law… This study isn’t the only unwanted gift that the regime received on the thirtieth anniversary of the Islamic Revolution. A second investigation about the condition of young people presents problems for the authorities. It was assigned to the Education Ministry. A portion of the results were published, but others were suppressed. It was made public that less than a third of young people in Tehran between 15 and 29 years of age say they are satisfied with their situation. 62.5 percent complain about unemployment, the social order and lack of money. They have no perspective for the future. Only 31.6 percent find the social norms of the regime acceptable; 35.8 percent want to emigrate.
I really don’t have anything to say. My jaw is still on the floor. So many people in the States see Islam as one big happy family all wanting to end the West. The more I read, the more I realize that political Islam is a small minority that can only keep its power with violent force and lies. The army of jihadists is quite small. It seems like everyone else is just trying to escape one way or another.
The educated women of Tehran are choosing prostitution in pursuit of upward mobility — as a way of sharing in the oil-based potlatch that made Tehran the world’s hottest real estate market during 2006 and 2007.
Tehran’s prostitutes are not so much pushed into the trade by poverty as pulled into it by the dream of wealth. That is consistent with Spengler’s Universal Lay #9: A country isn’t beaten until it sells its women, but it’s damned when its women sell themselves.
Drugs is another means of escape:
…According to a 2008 report from the U.S. Council on Foreign Relations, “Iran serves as the major transport hub for opiates produced by [Afghanistan], and the UN Office of Drugs and Crime reports that Iran has as many as 1.7 million opiate addicts.”
Some BBC sources put the number of users of hard drugs as high as 5 million. Where’s the army? Getting high and fucking!
Iran’s economy is a sick entity kept going through infusions of oil money.
Some sanctions have been applied and lifted since 2009, but Iran was just recently able to sell oil again. While Iran was not selling oil we had a fracking revolution here in the States. Oil prices have plummeted. Opec recently said that they weren’t cutting production. Iran started production again. The US has become quite the oil exporter itself. There is no money in oil right now… we have a stand-off. Economists are still confused: they keep predicting oil prices to go back up, but they just keep falling.
Iran’s biggest money-maker is failing them and this happened:
Official Iranian data report that the average household earns too little to purchase the minimum consumption level of basic goods.
…Oil output will fall by more that half by 2050, when an avalanche of retirees will make impossible demands on the Iranian economy.
The years of the institutionalized Islamic Revolution have been relatively speaking, economically fat years, subsidized by oil and natural gas production. And yet in those fat years, the educated urban population is slipping into drug addiction, prostitution, and despair. What will Iran’s lean years look like?
When I was in high school oh so long ago, I remember thinking that I was born into a boring time. History had a hold of me already, and I wanted something big to believe in, like ‘Nazis are bad’ or ‘settling new lands.’ I was pretty dumb. I’ve already seen the birth of the computer and the internet. I’ll be around when all of us have to face the shit: population decline hits a head when the bulge populations of America and the Middle East reach retirement age, dying countries and cultures have nuclear weapons, Europe is secularizing to death… We will all be ‘forced’ to do something, ‘forced’ to care. I think that is what I was dreaming about in high school: something that the whole world has to take action on. Unifying. Revolutionary. It’s out there… just out of reach, but everyday we are getting closer.