Imperial College London predicts 18+ months b4 a mass vacc program possible
Virus is already well establ in G20 countries
WHO: seasonal flu kills <0.1% — Covid kills 3%-4%.
BUT Covid has only hit industsd nations, with intens care facilities
Contin missteps —
UK NHS workers’ Personal Prot Equip standards have just been reduced
Culture of NHS managers that medics “shld just get on w it” — medics becom transmission vectors: horrific
N Eng J of Med yesterd publshd evid of aerosol transmission capabil in virus rich environs like hospitals (https://lnkd.in/g4b3Kid)
We already know:
“….viral load … detected in asymptomatic patient was similar to that in symptomatic patients…”
Schools still open
Virus has only killed >60 yo, because of availability of respiratory support for younger people — oldr pple left to die.
NYT reports 50% of ppl in France requir resp support r <60yo, otherw they die
Med-term risk is regions bcme infection batteries/no-go areas until virus is suppressed
Damage to the econ that U.K. govt policy is STILL doing by not immediately suppressing the virus is incalculable
Until the vaccine’s ready, we’re inside this new reality