Carmageddon is Coming
Angus Hervey
1K118

Good read but too optimistic. It’s easy to over-estimate the pace of change — just think of “Back to the Future” touting cars that could fly by 2015 (and were run on household waste)!
Often mobile phones seem to be used as a precedent for rapid disruption but these are relatively small devices that exploded in popularity because they quickly became able to do so many things. Cars are complex beasts, capable of causing horrific accidents and requiring huge amounts of investment to produce (and purchase). I wouldn’t be so hasty as to dismiss the oil industries estimates for peak oil and query the Stanford’s report “best case scenario”.
Plus, it should be noted that this tech will spread very unevenly across the world — arriving swiftly in trendy metropolitan areas and taking eons to appear in more remote locales.

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