New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Free MLB Prediction, 7–27–2017
Free MLB Pick by Mel Jones of Precision Picks
New York Mets vs San Diego Padres
Line: Padres -110, 8.5
First Pitch: 9:10 pm EST
New York Mets (47–52) at San Diego Padres (44–57)
The San Diego Padres host the New York Mets in their finale of a four game series. New York won games 1 and 2 but the Padres took game 3, last night. The Mets will hand the ball off to Chris Flexen who will make his Major League debut. Flexen was 32–21 with a 3.28 ERA and 343 strikeouts in his minor league career. Flexen will take the place of Zach Wheeler who was put on the DL earlier this week. San Diego counters with Luis Perdomo who is 4–5 with a 4.71 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season.
The Mets have been a decent team on the road (22–23) in their first 45 road games, with 26 games going over, 14 going under, with five pushes. They are scoring 4.8 runs per game and giving up 4.8 per game.
New York has scored 14 runs in their last three games and five or more runs in five of their last eight games. New York has won five straight games when scoring more than three runs.
The San Diego Padres look for a win here after splitting their last eight games. The Padres have scored 14 runs in this series and four or more runs in 12 of their last 13 games. The San Diego Padres have split their last 10 games when scoring more than three runs.
The Padres are (24–25) in their first 49 home games, with 29 games going over, 17 going under, with three pushes. They are scoring 3.8 runs per game and giving up 4.7 runs per contest.
MLB Betting Trends
The Mets are 7–1 in their last 8 vs. the National League West
The Over is 10–1–1 in the Padres last 12 overall
The Padres are 10–25 in their last 35 during game 4 of a series
It’s hard to put money on a pitcher making his Major League debut. It’s also hard to put money on Perdomo who boasts an ERA of nearly 5.00. I like the Over 8.5 in this matchup as the Padres have been scoring a lot of runs the second half of the season and this series alone has produced totals of 8, 11 and 9 runs. Take the Over 8.5 with confidence inThursday’s matchup.


