UK Housing Price Long Term Analysis
In Sept, 2017, UK nominal housing price has increased 296.06% from Jan 1991.
XRED’s 40% bonus Pre-Sale is at the last day and therefore, we would like to have some fun by presenting you some simple analyses of long term UK housing prices. Official website: https://xred.co
From NationWide’s House Price Index, we made some analysis for UK Housing Price’s long term performance. There are three charts that we would like to show.
Chart 1: Average House Price
Average House Price has an upward trend with an interruption in 2008 when the Banking Crisis happened. After 2008, there was a steady recovery. From 2013 to 2017, the increase trend was more significant.
The latest data in Sept is as follows:
Chart 2: Percent Increase Relative to Jan 1991
This chart illustrates the upward trend in percent increase. By Sept 2017, the percentage increase is 296.06%. The trendline formula is y=0.0004x-12.213, which is pretty steep. This data is nominal data that is not inflation adjusted.
Chart 3: Inflation Adjusted House Price Percent Increase Relative to Q1 1975
This chart is less flat compared to the previous two charts, but the line is mostly above 0% in the first half of the chart while the second half of the chart has a percentage of going up to 150% before 2008, then returning to 100% in 2013 and then keep growing till now. the overall trendline is upward with a formula of y=0.01x-0.3299. By 2017 Q1, the percent increase relative to 1975 Q1 is 128.85%. Note that this chart uses inflation adjusted house price.
Original data can be found at: http://www.nationwide.co.uk/about/house-price-index/download-data#xtab:uk-series
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