Our subconscious mind is terrible at math and generally gets all kinds of things wrong about the likelihood of something happening if any data is missing.
Cognitive bias cheat sheet
Buster Benson

(a)the mind of man can perceive appearances only, and never the essence of things; (b) and not all appearances but only the appearances of matter;

Distinguish Clearly These Bitter Yet Fertile Human Truths, Flesh of our Flesh, and Admit Them Heroically

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