10 AI Predictions for the Next 12 Months — State of AI 2023

By Nathan Benaich and Air Street Capital team

I love tech predictions. Nathan and his team has done a great job of predicting this year’s AI wave.

Source: State of AI 2023 Report

Here are their predictions for the next 12 months:

1. A Hollywood-grade production makes use of generative AI for visual effects.
2. A generative AI media company is investigated for its misuse during in the 2024 US election circuit.
3. Self-improving AI agents crush SOTA in a complex environment (e.g. AAA game, tool use, science).
4. Tech IPO markets unthaw and we see at least one major listing for an AI-focused company (e.g. Databricks).
5. The GenAI scaling craze sees a group spend >$1B to train a single large-scale model.
6. The US’s FTC or UK’s CMA investigate the Microsoft/OpenAI deal on competition grounds.
7. We see limited progress on global AI governance beyond high-level voluntary commitments.
8. Financial institutions launch GPU debt funds to replace VC equity dollars for compute funding.
9. An AI-generated song breaks into the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 or the Spotify Top Hits 2024.
10. As inference workloads and costs grow significantly, a large AI company (e.g. OpenAI) acquires an inference-focused AI chip company.

Here is the full report:

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