Applying seasonal differencing to the log of the series should make the above series stationary. It is quite challenging to define parameters for climate data, that are a lot of publications about this topic. I will not dig deep inside and choose just simple parameters lag=365 and diff=1. More information about parameters you can find in Trend analysis of climate time series publication.
…h as the VAR model we should take care of these patterns before the data can be fit into the model. For the VAR model you need stationary condition to be performed. Put enough structure into the model to identify some of the parameters in a model.
My personal and professional life revolves around books, and I can’t think of myself without automatically thinking about the books that I read. It’s simply a matter of identity. Books are bricks: a literal and literary construction of the self, through the words of others.
I very much like the idea of tracking my discrete building of myself. It amuses me and I have gre…