The love of all players that score points in multiple categories…

Below are tables containing the top 25 players overall and the top 5 at each position for 2020. We are still finalizing the models, so these will likely change somewhat. Create an account on our site and you get access to the top 10 at each position, and the top 50 overall for free.

If you sign up for an MVP subscription, you will be able to see all the predictions.

You can view our Standard yearly prediction article here

What Do We Provide During The Season?

During the season, we provide weekly projections and stats for $5 a month during the regular season. …


I kind of like it, or maybe I have Stockholm syndrome

If you work in a large organization with a ton of developer resources, this article might not be for you. If you are like me and wear many hats and have the flexibility to use whatever tools you want, then keep reading.

The goal is to give you an overview of how I’m using WSL, Airflow, and Net.exe as well as provide links to resources that will be helpful for the installation and configuration of WSL and Airflow.

I am by no means an expert. If you have feedback or know of a different/better way to do some of this…


Double the Content, double the fun

It’s been a busy off-season. I will be keeping the Medium posts short due to the manual nature of the posting process.

I have a similar post on our site, check it out if you have time https://gridironai.com/football/blog/article/week_1_2019_pickem/20

Backtested Performance Results

Until I have time (and fully backtested results) to write a performance summary, below is the current backtested results, by season for the Pick’Em predictions. The backtested results (below) are done by simulating the week to week predictions but this hasn’t been tested in the wild.

Transparency — The far-right column seems too high. If we…


Medium Import is still busted so I guess I’ll keep writing double the content

Rookies Are Difficult to Predict

That should be news to no one. In general, sports are hard to predict. This article is going to consist of graphs that outline where we think players will end up if they get some playing time.

If you want to view the content on our site, use this link

How to Use These Predictions

Playing time assumptions aside, these rankings should be used as a general measure of the player's potential skill.

Evaluation of the model

You can view the evaluation set of the model in the following post. I also add some context on how we do the evaluation process.

QB

WR


Medium Import isn’t working so I’m going to include a short preview and a link to our site

Hey everyone, we've been hard at work on various improvements to our site and models. We also migrated our blog to the site and until we figure out what is wrong with Medium’s import tool, I can only post condensed versions on here (for SEO and Google reasons).

2019 Rankings — The good stuff!

The table version of our rankings can be found at our site, for reasons laid out above. A few other things can be found on the site:

  • The article on our site includes projected average points overall our models, projected maximum points and projected minimum points.
  • We explain some information about the…

Let’s categorize quarterback performance into tiers

The tiers defined in the list below are approximately based on standard scoring point quantiles from 2018 data.

  • Bad- 0–10
  • Average- 10–15
  • Good- 15–20
  • Elite- 20+

The probability of quarterback performance tier in their next game (NG) given their performance tier in their last game (LG)

The table below can be read as follows: The row labels in the table represents quarterback performance from their last game (LG) while the columns represent projected performance in their next game (NG).

For example: If a QB was “Elite” last game, the probability of them performing “Elite” in their next game is 45%.

Key takeaways

  • When a quarterback has an “Elite” performance, there is a 45% chance they will perform “Elite” in their next game

I have a lot of questions about life; this post does not cover any of them.

I’ve always wondered what makes a fantasy player elite within their position group? Outside skill conversations, are there other factors about a player’s situation you should take into account when it comes time to draft or pickup? I’m going to attempt to answer this question.

First in a series

This is the first post in a series on fantasy performance by position — running backs, wide receivers, quarterbacks, and tight ends. My goal is to look at each position independently and then knit together a cohesive drafting and pickup strategy. Check back for updates!

Team Wins

The figure below shows the density of final running back…


For my first post of 2019, I am examining the performance of QB play on the other offensive positions. My goal is to provide the first steps in coming up with the ‘shitty QB’ factor I frequently mention in other posts. My hypothesis is: bad QB play has a cascading effect on other offensive positions. My initial thoughts, before analysis is done are:

* Bad QB play impacts every position negatively

* Most models rank positions independently of each other and we need to think about how the QB might perform when making roster decisions

* I’d avoid most players…


No clever title this week

Housekeeping:

  • On our site, you can see our full weekly rankings, customize the scoring to match your league and see a ton of other stats about the players. It’s only $5 a month during the NFL regular season. Click this link to sign up. This month is the last month we’ll charge this season, use coupon code PLAYOFFS for 50% off.
  • We also have a free subscription on the site that contains the top 10 players at each position for PPR, STD, FD, and DK. Hook a brother up and make an account!
  • Week 16 PPR Rankings (top 10 at…

I’ll take questions about Andy Reid’s teams choking in big games for 500 Alex.

Housekeeping:

  • On our site, you can see our full rankings, customize the scoring to match your league and see a ton of other stats about the players. It’s only $5 a month during the NFL regular season. Click this link to sign up. This month is the last month we’ll charge this season, use coupon code PLAYOFFS for 50% off.
  • We also have a free subscription on the site that contains the top 10 at each position for PPR, STD, FD, and DK. Hook a brother up and make an account!
  • Week 15 PPR Rankings (top 10 at each position)…

Andrew Troiano

Data Scientist that is not great at writing profiles. I enjoy baseball and football.

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