In particular, I thought his trick of asking “what’s the longest anyone has lived with this treatment” instead of “how long do you expect me to live” was a very good one. He said “Sixty-three percent of doctors overestimated their patient’s survival time. Just 17 percent underestimated it. The average estimate was 530 percent too high. And the better the doctors knew their patients, the more likely they were to err.”
Don’t let the medical industry own your death

Any citations on these percentages? The studies I have read on NIH PubMed show pretty high accuracy in estimating survival times today because they use special blood tests that show tumor cell growth and can estimate how quickly it will cause one to die.

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