Let’s Talk Strategies for Social Change
Joe Brewer

Actually, a complexity researcher such as yourself should realize that the current outcome, while seemingly the result of decades of background efforts, is much more likely a bifurcation fluke in the flow of politics. A couple butterfly flaps and Clinton would have won the presidential election, and a few more and the Senate would have gone Democratic.

In fact, one could argue that the bifurcation could have easily gone back to the presidential primaries, where Sanders and some other Republican could have easily won.

And I would argue that the supposedly coordinated long-term campaign of the right to gain power is actually not so coordinated. And that that power is fleeting. Complexity theory says that we really can’t predict what will happen. But I think it’s unlikely that the current dominance of US government by raving lunatic right-wingers will continue for any length of time.

I’m not arguing for complacency. I’m just saying that it’s unlikely that the current situation will continue. It’s way too unstable. As you mentioned in the opening of your piece, we went from thinking that the left was going to win worldwide to the opposite in a few months. I would argue that the reasons for that change could be explained more by a butterfly’s wings then by a coordinated effort by the right.

And I wouldn’t be too surprised if in a couple years, things are completely different. Just remember the Great Recession.

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