Week 13 Gambling picks
21 games on the docket for Rivalry week
Well everybody, we are here. It is the last week of a regular season that seems as if it just started yesterday.
We’ve had plenty of ups and downs this season and we find ourselves with a record of 71–51 after going 5–4 a week ago. That is 58% on the year, and we are going to up that as we finish strong this week.
Can I just say, is there ever a better week to gamble than rivalry week? Sitting there, still full from thanksgiving, with a full slate of hate fueled games both Friday and Saturday. What more could you ask for?
Anyhow, here come the picks, and we are not losing this week.
Western Michigan +13.5 at Toledo Friday 11:30 ESPNU
Western Michigan may be 6–5, but they have played every loss closs, including slim losses to Michigan State and USC. They are no pushovers, and 13.5 is too many points. In a rivalry game, Western Michigan loses a close one in some early morning MACtion.
Miami -11.5 at Pitt Friday Noon ABC
Pitt just lost a week ago to collect their seventh loss of the season, and not playing for a bowl berth could be deflating for this team. On top of that, the Panthers turn the ball over quite a bit, and as we all know from the turnover chain, Miami creates plenty of turnovers. Hurricanes win this one by a pair of touchdowns.
Ohio -6 at Buffalo Friday 1:00 ESPN3
Quite frankly, Ohio is just a much better team than Buffalo. They suffered a disappointing defeat against Akron last week, and now they have had 9 days to get ready for this one. There is only one way to cleanse a loss like that, and it is beating the tar out of poor Buffalo. I’m all about the MACtion baby.
Missouri -9.5 at Arkansas Friday 2:30 CBS
There is not a hotter team in the country than these Tigers. Their offense has been praying upon all the weak teams of the SEC the last four weeks and Arkansas is next in line. Drew Lock is tearing it up, and is easily the best QB in the SEC. This game may start out close because of the rivalry aspect, but Arkansas won’t be able to pull it off. What better way to wave Bielema goodbye than a blowout loss to Mizzou.
Iowa -3.5 at Nebraska Friday 4:00 FS1
Ok, so I admit that Iowa has laid an egg the last few weeks after they beat Ohio State, but they’ll be ready to go in this one. Nebraska has been truly awful this year, and is just ready for the offseason and the Scott Frost rumors. Iowa will slowly take control of this one and win by a few possessions.
Virginia Tech at Virginia +7.5 Friday 8:00 ESPN
This has always been one of my favorite rivalry games to watch, and this year should be no exception. UVA has far exceeded expectations this year, and had a chance to cap off what has been a great year, with a win over a sputtering Virginia Tech team. Not only do I like Virginia to beat the spread at home Friday night, I think they have a good chance of winning all together.
Ohio State -12 at Michigan Noon Fox
Michigan is not very good. They have no offense, and their quarterback might actually die at the hands of this Ohio State front 7. Harbaugh has proved to be one of the most overrated head coaches in the country. I have a feeling this one will be pretty lopsided and Ohio State will have plenty of momentum heading into the Big 1o Championship game.
East Carolina at Memphis -28.5 Noon ESPNU
It’s been awhile since we have bet against ECU because they started playing better and we were losing. This week, however, we are hopping back on the bet against the Pirates train. Memphis’ offense is on fire right now, and there is not a chance ECU can contain them. Hell, Memphis could hang 1oo on them if they wanted to.
Louisville at Kentucky over 68 Noon SECN
What do you get when two teams with good offenses, bad defenses, play each other in a rivalry game? That’s right, lots of points. I really liked the way Louisville has played lately offensively, and Kentucky has been able to find plenty of points themselves. We are going to have a shootout in this one and easily cash the over.
Indiana at Purdue -2.5 Noon ESPN2
What Brohm has been able to do at Purdue this year has been fantastic, and subsequently, has his name on plenty of short lists for open coaching jobs. What better way to cap off the regular season by beating your rival and clinching a bowl berth. This will be back and forth all day, but Purdue will win and cover.
Boston College -3.5 at Syracuse 12:20 ACCN
Boston College is another team that has really exceeded expectations this season. They have closed the season well, and should beat Syracuse pretty handily Saturday. The Orange have been slumping as of late and were boat-raced a week ago by Louisville last week. The Eagles should be able to win this one easily.
North Texas -10.5 at Rice 1:00 ESPN3
Poor Rice. I have a special place in my heart for Rice football as they are my go to team in NCAA 14, but man have they been bad. Currently they are 1–10 and most losses haven’t even been close. It’s time me for a coaching change for Rice, but until then they will just continue to get blown out. Easy cover here
Old Dominion +11.5 at MTSU 3:00 ESPN3
This line really makes no sense to me. I think the Monarchs are going to win this one outright. Both teams are fighting for a bowl berth and ODU has one three in a row to get to this point. They are hot right now and MTSU will struggle to stop a running quarterback. This line is easy money.
UNLV +3 at Nevada 3:oo
There are very few teams that 2–9 Nevada should be favored over. UNLV is not one of them. The Runnin’ Rebels have done a good job salvaging their season after an embarrassing loss in week one as 40 point favorites. They have the chance to reach bowl game if they win this one, and I am taking them out right.
Alabama -4.5 at Auburn 3:30 CBS
As much as I want this to be a good game, I just don’t think it will. Auburn fails to match up with Bama effectively, though I wish they could. This game will be low scoring, but the Tide will win by a few scores. The Tigers offense is too one dimensional, and Saban will exploit that all night long. Bama might not lose this year.
Iowa State +2.5 at Kansas State 3:30 ESPN2
This is another line that immediately stands out to me. The Cyclones are obviously the better team here, but for some reason they find themselves as an underdog. I am a firm believer, in Matt Campbell. He has developed a scrappy bunch that flies around on defense. Iowa State will win a close here one outright.
Vanderbilt at Tennessee -1 4:00 SECN
As a diehard Tennessee fan, this really makes my heart hurt. I am holding out hope that we can come out on Senior day in front of their home crowd, channel their hatred for Vanderbilt and win a football game. Tennessee and Ohio State are the only two teams that have never suffered 8 losses in a season. Surely this isn’t the year, too much has gone poorly already.
Arizona 2.5 at Arizona State 4:30 PAC12N
Another rivalry that doesn’t get as much mainstream cover, but is always excellent to watch. This year should be more of the same as both teams are very evenly matched. Ultimately, the X-factor will be the Wildcats ability to run the football team. I don’t think the Sun Devils can stop the two headed monster in the opposing backfield. Arizona wins a close one.
Clemson at South Carolina +13.5 7:30 ESPN
This game has upset written all over it. A night game in Williams-Bryce is a tall order. Will Muschamp will have a great gameplan to stop the Clemson defense and keep this one close all night. Clemson has struggled in several games this season, and will continue to struggle tonight. If the Gamecock offensive line can consistently give Bentley enough time Saturday night, they may just pull off the upset.
Texas A&M +9.5 at LSU 7:30 SECN
This is another line where I can see the underdog winning outright here. LSU is not nearly as good as their record, but they keep winning games. Their offense is one dimensional and the Aggies have a good pair of linebackers; if they can contain Guice they can win the game. This will also be Sumlin’s last game as the head coach of the Aggies. He is well liked by his players, and they are going to want to send him out with a win.
Washington State +10.5 at Washington 8:00 FOX
This line is entirely too high. Washington State is playing for a chance to go to the conference championship game against a slumping rival. There is no way they should be 10.5 point underdogs. The Cougars are going to come out hot in this one and score a lot of points. This game will be a shootout with a lot of back and forth. Whoever wins won’t win by more than one possession.
Well, that’s all we got for this week. It’s rivalry week and we are going big with 21 picks!!! 21!!!
What better way to end a season than 21–0.
Remember to tune in next week for some bets on conference championship week. Don’t be selfish and share this with your friends.
Happy rivalry week and happy gambling!