Earlier this week the results of the National Student Survey (NSS) 2020 were released.
The survey was fielded during a difficult academic year for universities. The University and College Union (UCU) initiated industrial action as part of a long-running dispute over pay, pensions and working conditions. UCU members in dozens…
The dispersion of the Remain vote between multiple competing parties created strong incentives for coordination in the 2019 election. Three “Remain” parties (the Liberal Democrats, the Greens, and Plaid Cymru) were able to coordinate at the elite level, agreeing a joint candidate in 60 seats, but this coordination was limited…
Yesterday’s general election was the first December general election since 1923. Although there was no significant snowfall, the weather was pretty dreich across much of the country. …
Earlier this morning (Wednesday 11th September), the Inner House of the Court of Session ruled that the prorogation of Parliament, which took place on Tuesday morning, was unlawful. All three judges agreed.
The decision follows a previous ruling by a Division Court of the High Court of England and Wales…
In 2016 I produced estimates of how each Westminster constituency had (probably) voted in the UK's EU membership referendum.
These estimates were necessary because the referendum was counted at the local authority level rather than the Westminster constituency level.
The 2019 European Parliament elections were also counted at local authority…
Earlier this evening the Prime Minister made a speech on Brexit.
The speech — billed this afternoon as an "appeal to the nation" — contained no new information, no new proposals, and no indication as how to the UK might reach an agreement with the EU, and thereby avoid a…
tl;dr version: Agreement requires uncertain cross-party agreement and very good whipping
At present, betting exchanges imply that the probability of the UK exiting the EU without a deal is around 24%.
That’s about the same as the probability of the average Bundesliga game ending in a draw.
Next Tuesday, MPs will vote on the government’s proposed Withdrawal Agreement (WA).
When they vote, MPs will have to weigh several different factors.
One of those factors is public opinion — and more particularly, opinion in their constituency.
According to the polls, the government’s deal is the worst form of…
Parliamentary elections will be held on Sweden on Sunday.
Because the party has grown in support, and because some party activists are racists and Nazi sympathisers, people are concerned about the possibility that the Sweden Democrats will top the poll.
How likely is this? I can think of three ways…
Constituency Labour parties in Vauxhall and Birkenhead have expressed no-confidence in Kate Hoey and Frank Field respectively.
The proximate cause was a vote on an amendment to the government’s Trade Bill (New Clause 18), where Hoey and Field, together with two other Labour MPs, voted with the government against an…
