Sep 3, 2018 · 1 min read
You may be missing the point. The real insight would be how Muslim values firmed up over time and eventually caused one candidate to lose. It has nothing to do with the high incidence of Muslim voters in any given electoral area — as you said most electoral areas are over 80% so I would not think that was a unique or significant driver until issues of religion started to harden up attitudes. This would be better studied as longitudinal model by tracking the “key words” discourse in newspapers and social media over the period of the campaign. That would account for the extreme shift in voter intent over the campaign period.