Phillies Mid-Summer Outlook — Everything is great… or is it…

It’s July 8th and the Phillies lead the division by 8 games. Everything is great… or is it…

My major concern about the Phillies going into this season was pitching health and overuse, and here we are 55.56% of the way through the season.

As of right now, here’s how many pitches each pitcher has thrown YoY…

Aaron Nola and Zack Wheeler seem to be right on target which is great, but the rest of the staff is looking a little suspect. Ranger is already up to nearly 80% and Sanchez is 101% over his workload last year and we are not even at the All star break. Jose Alvarado is at 81% and the rest of the bullpen are well on pace exceed their pitch totals from last year. This pace is unsustainable for a majority of the staff and bullpen if you project these numbers out 162.

Here is the projected pitch total for 2024.

This is not a good outlook for the 2nd half. Dombrowski has to think this trade deadline through a little bit and consider pitching health down the stretch. Yeah, the Phillies might win the division, big whoop, but what good is getting to the playoffs if these guys are throwing meatballs by October or injured.

Something to think about.

-Bozzy Baseball Blogs Out!

Data driven baseball blogs for #WinGuys and #WinGals

Phillies Pitch Counter Spreadsheet