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Colin Fraser
Colin Fraser

973 Followers

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Feb 27

Who are we talking to when we talk to these bots?

If you ask ChatGPT who it is, you’ll get some variation on the following standardized spiel. The bot will tell you that it is “a language model developed by OpenAI” designed to perform such-and-such helpful tasks and so on. This assertion is easy enough to take at face value. The…

Technology

34 min read

Who are we talking to when we talk to these bots?
Who are we talking to when we talk to these bots?
Technology

34 min read


Feb 2

Welcome To Hell, OpenAI

Nilay Patel wrote a clairvoyant piece in The Verge shortly after Elon Musk bought Twitter called Welcome to hell, Elon, welcoming Elon Musk to hell. Elon is in hell, the piece argues, because he is now the boss of content moderation at Twitter, and is tasked with balancing the unbalanceable…

Chatgpt

10 min read

Welcome To Hell, OpenAI
Welcome To Hell, OpenAI
Chatgpt

10 min read


Jan 28

ChatGPT: Automatic expensive BS at scale

I recall vividly the first time I saw a screenshot from ChatGPT. It was in this Tweet. I was instantly a complete hater. How is this so impressive, I wondered. Large language models, including GPT-3, which powers ChatGPT, had been around for a long time. GitHub’s Copilot product…

AI

39 min read

ChatGPT: Automatic expensive BS at scale
ChatGPT: Automatic expensive BS at scale
AI

39 min read


May 19, 2022

Pie Charts Are Good

In R, if you run ?pie, you get a stern talking-to. > ?pie [...] Note: Pie charts are a very bad way of displaying information. The eye is good at judging linear measures and bad at judging relative areas. A bar chart or dot chart is a preferable way of…

Data Visualization

6 min read

Pie Charts Are Good
Pie Charts Are Good
Data Visualization

6 min read


Jan 4, 2020

Target didn’t figure out a teenager was pregnant before her father did, and that one article that said they did was silly and bad.

In 2012, a story was published in the New York Times under the headline How Companies Learn Your Secrets. The article discusses, among other things, how and why a marketing team at Target tried to build a model to predict which shoppers were pregnant. …

Data Science

8 min read

Target didn’t figure out a teen girl was pregnant before her father did
Target didn’t figure out a teen girl was pregnant before her father did
Data Science

8 min read


Nov 15, 2018

Deep Learning is Shallow Thinking

Three Fundamental Things That Deep Learning Can’t Do — AI is a huge and vague term that means different things to different people, but everyone agrees about one thing: AI is the future. Soon enough, AI will be driving all of our Ubers and directing our Netflix specials and delivering our Amazon prime orders. …

Artificial Intelligence

12 min read

Deep Learning is Shallow Thinking
Deep Learning is Shallow Thinking
Artificial Intelligence

12 min read


Published in Extra Newsfeed

·Jul 3, 2017

What the recent study on the Seattle Minimum Wage Experiment actually says

In June 2017, a paper popped up by Jardim et. al at the National Bureau of Economic Research entitled Minimum Wage Increases, Wages, and Low-Wage Employment: Evidence From Seattle. This is the first of what will probably be many studies investigating the effects of the Seattle minimum wage changes, and…

Minimum Wage

14 min read

What the recent study on the Seattle Minimum Wage Experiment actually says
What the recent study on the Seattle Minimum Wage Experiment actually says
Minimum Wage

14 min read


Jun 15, 2017

Refugees to the United States pay $21,000 more in taxes than they receive in benefits, and other findings from a recent study of refugees

The paper was posted to NBER a few days ago and has gotten quite a bit of attention. Unfortunately there doesn’t seem to be an ungated version floating around right now, but lots of universities have access to NBER papers by email so you might be able to get to…

Migration

12 min read

Migration

12 min read


Feb 6, 2017

How to find (the extremely wide) confidence intervals for Net Promoter Scores

A foray into the mathematics of NPS, complete with code for Excel and R — In my last piece about the Net Promoter Score and how it’s not a very useful metric in part due to the extremely wide confidence intervals that it generates, I wrote Anyone using anything at least as powerful as Excel should have no problem producing [NPS] standard errors and confidence…

Net Promoter Score

8 min read

How to find (the extremely wide) confidence intervals for Net Promoter Scores
How to find (the extremely wide) confidence intervals for Net Promoter Scores
Net Promoter Score

8 min read


Jan 30, 2017

At least two reasons why you probably shouldn’t use the Net Promoter Score

Update: For those who wish to know how to find confidence intervals for the Net Promoter Score, I’ve written a guide complete with a downloadable spreadsheet or R code for doing just that. Hopefully someone out there can use that information to improve their NPS reporting with some measures of…

Net Promoter Score

11 min read

At least two reasons why you probably shouldn’t use the Net Promoter Score
At least two reasons why you probably shouldn’t use the Net Promoter Score
Net Promoter Score

11 min read

Colin Fraser

Colin Fraser

973 Followers

Data Scientist at Meta

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