Div TiwariPythagorean Expectation: A Guide to Estimating Win Probabilities in any SportPythagorean expectation is a statistical model commonly used in baseball to estimate a team’s expected winning percentage based on their…6 min read·Dec 19, 2022----
Div TiwariI Spoke to an Astronaut about Cricket (and Probability Distributions)What probability distribution best models the batting strike-rates of players, and why?7 min read·Aug 26, 2022--1--1
Div TiwariHow Do Sports Ratings Work?Ah, sports ratings —a topic for casual workplace chatter, fodder for heated debate, an attempt at objectively answering the eternal “who’s…8 min read·Jul 24, 2022----
Div TiwariRun Rate Hypothesis: How does scoring rate change with inning length?A rather unique aspect of cricket compared to other professional sports is the variety of forms, ranging from five-day Test matches to…6 min read·May 29, 2022--1--1
Div TiwariCricket Science — Average vs Strike Rate (Part III: Applying BEREX)Here, I apply the BEREX (BErnoulli Run EXpectation) model to real-world cricket data. Read Part I to learn about the idea, what motivated…5 min read·May 14, 2022----
Div TiwariCricket Science — Average vs Strike Rate (Part II: Implementing BEREX)BEREX, short for BErnoulli Run EXpectation, is a mathematical model created to answer the question - how can average and strike rate be…6 min read·Apr 15, 2022----
Div TiwariCricket Science — Average vs Strike Rate (Part I: Introducing BEREX)What is the hallmark of a good batsman? In simple numerical terms, it is the ability to score many runs and to do it fast. The same applies…7 min read·Apr 15, 2022----
Div TiwariWhy Cricket Science?The year is 2001. The place is Ranchi, a small town in India. A short, bespectacled, eight year old boy is playing cards with his friend…2 min read·Mar 28, 2022----
