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Danny Page
Danny Page

1.3K Followers

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Oct 20, 2017

Political Football

“John Mara’s anxiety soon seemed unwarranted. Only a small portion of 1,500 active NFL players kneeled or sat during the anthem, and after the NFL season ended, the issue died down. According to Google Trends, interest in the anthem protest had all but flatlined. When the NFL resumed in August 2017, only a few players — Marshawn Lynch, Michael Bennett, and Cliff Avril, to name a few — protested during the anthem. That is, until President Donald Trump weighed in…”

NFL

1 min read

Political Football
Political Football
NFL

1 min read


Feb 23, 2017

A few soccer analytics articles that I finally read

I have had these articles stuck in tab-purgatory for quite awhile, but I’m glad to have finally read them. …

Soccer

3 min read

A few soccer analytics articles that I finally read
A few soccer analytics articles that I finally read
Soccer

3 min read


Dec 12, 2016

Seriously, Time For Some Game Theory

Perhaps you’ve seen a thread going around Twitter today that claims to invoke game theory to explain the political climate of the day. And like a certain movie whose premise is founded on game theory, it never fully shows a real example of game theory. …

Game Theory

3 min read

Seriously, Time For Some Game Theory
Seriously, Time For Some Game Theory
Game Theory

3 min read


Nov 11, 2016

It’s Okay When My Party Does This, But Not When Your Party Does It Too

Many times we try to catch pundits in a trap. I’m not sure it works. — They said X about Y when they did Z, but said Not-X about Not-Y when THEY did Z! What a hypocrite! Does that convince anyone? Does that ever work? I don’t think it does, other than to signal something to people who think similarly. And it gets plenty of RTs…

2016 Election

4 min read

It’s Okay When My Party Does This, But Not When Your Party Does It Too
It’s Okay When My Party Does This, But Not When Your Party Does It Too
2016 Election

4 min read


Nov 8, 2016

Evaluating Prediction Models — Part 2: Brier Score

A follow-up from yesterday’s post about using betting markets to evaluate prediction models; today’s post will be using the Brier Score calculation on a state-by-state basis. It’s used very often in weather forecasting to see measure how often it predicts rain and scores it based on confidence. …

Politics

2 min read

Evaluating Prediction Models — Part 2: Brier Score
Evaluating Prediction Models — Part 2: Brier Score
Politics

2 min read


Nov 7, 2016

How To Evaluate Prediction Models By Comparing to Betting Markets

A.K.A Put your money where your mouth is! — As we get closer to the U.S. Presidential election, there has been a large divergence between popular prediction models. Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight, arguably the most famous prediction model, has upset the conventional wisdom of a very likely Hillary Clinton victory. His three models have converged around 65%. …

Politics

6 min read

How To Evaluate Prediction Models By Comparing to Betting Markets
How To Evaluate Prediction Models By Comparing to Betting Markets
Politics

6 min read


Nov 4, 2016

Nate Silver Has No Time For Math, There’s Clicks To Be Had!

4 more days. 4 more days. Whoosah. Whoosah. — Article updated at 2016/11/05 12:30 AM EDT, thanks to Peter Owen on Twitter for some correction with the math. Moves Trump from 6%->12.3% chance having a favorable polling error. At 2016/11/04 12:22 PM EDT, FiveThirtyEight’s Polls-Only had Clinton leading by the following numbers: Clinton 48.5– Trump 45.2, putting Clinton up…

2016 Election

3 min read

Nate Silver Has No Time For Math, There’s Clicks To Be Had!
Nate Silver Has No Time For Math, There’s Clicks To Be Had!
2016 Election

3 min read


Aug 25, 2016

Being Antifragile with Sport Contracts

A few tweets popped into my timeline about how analytical types gauge contracts in hockey. I won’t go into specific player examples, but did want to make a few points about how teams can benefit from having small gambles with upside, rather than signing players with contracts that later become…

Sports

3 min read

Being Antifragile with Sports Contracts
Being Antifragile with Sports Contracts
Sports

3 min read


Aug 19, 2016

Has Social Media Spoiled The Olympics?

This morning, I saw an article from Bloomberg that placed blame on Millennials for not watching the Olympics. It was almost too early in the morning to deal with something that (yet again 🙄) is blaming some larger problem on a large & diverse group of young adults.

Media

5 min read

Has Social Media Spoiled The Olympics?
Has Social Media Spoiled The Olympics?
Media

5 min read


Jun 30, 2016

South Carolinians are frantically Googling their own College, hours after they won the College World Series

The whole country is reeling after a milestone comeback win in Omaha to take the College World Series. And although leaders of the Chanticleers crowing over their victory, it seems many South Carolinians may not even know what they had actually cheered for. That confusion over what the win might…

Sports

1 min read

South Carolinians are frantically Googling their own College, hours after they won the College…
South Carolinians are frantically Googling their own College, hours after they won the College…
Sports

1 min read

Danny Page

Danny Page

1.3K Followers

Sports analytics, software development, data analyst. Online portfolio: http://dannypage.github.io

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