The election is more than just the Presidential election.

The POTUS race has been over for weeks Hillary Clinton will be the next President of the United States short of an extraordinary turnaround, or extraordinary complacency on behalf of her voters who simply don’t vote because they assume she is going to win anyway.

BUT….

How big a win matters

Senate seats a few weeks ago it looked like the R’s would hang on now it looks like the D’s will take the Senate, but with a margin so small they will almost certainly lose again in mid-term 2018. That is still a very long way from the few weeks in 2013 between a delayed swearing in of Al Franken and the death of Kennedy when the D had a 60 vote unfilibusterable majority.

Until this weekend the assumption was the House seats were so gerrymandered that they would stay Republican. However the risk of gerrymandering is that you are designing seats that in most years most are safe for you, but you have very few seats that are ‘totally’ safe, so when the tipping point comes you go from losing no seats to losing lots and lots of seats. That still seems unlikely but is now possible.

State Government in a country were 50 different states have lots of power and influence on people’s lives. The Republicans have supermajority in House and Senate, and Governor in more states than ever before, that is at risk in lots of states, if present trends continue.