- Disclaimer: no intention to buy/sell the account and all the info here is to better understand how to valuate the account worth.
As mentioned in previous parts, the model result is paper value of the account worth based on exchange rates defined in the market place of the game system. The real account value can be scaled up and down by the market supply and demand.
- Market Supply: This can be modeled as user AR rank distribution globally or locally. The genshin data API seems not providing any aggregated distribution stats of players’ AR ranks. Based on https://activeplayer.io/genshin-impact/ we can roughly know the growth of genshin players over time. Last 30-DAy Monthly Players are close to 64 million [doubled up since April 2021] with monthly gain of 230K players. All-time-peak players online is 8.5million people. However, we don’t have much insights regarding the AR rank distribution.
- Market Demand: Market place of buyers is very limited as most account market place is auction based. No data supports this.
Since there is not much Market Demand data available. Even the market supply data becomes available, it will likely scale the account worth down due to limited info on demand or buyer while accounts with similar AR ranks are more available.
However, each Genshin player account is sort of unique in terms of team set up, artifacts and weapons etc. Therefore, each account is slightly different from the others.
For Genshin Players, it is super easy to start with a new account but if you like to build a top account with over 100K damage, it take very long time to cultivate one. Love the game and here is a drawing of Nilou for fun. Enjoy it.
Questions and comments are welcome via email genshin.value.model@gmail.com
