Lockdowns Decide What % GDP to Spend on Longevity Medical Science

Global lockdown is steered along its trajectory by three main things:

1. The retired baby boomer population demographic in The First World, who do fear flu.

2. The age demographics newly acquired computer skills and their ease of opportunity to spread “old age” panic across social media rapidly, that lacking any kill-switch to stop, unleashes a tsunami effect on both political leadership and news media (sensitively, non-sensibly, linked by Twitter feeds directly or by their advisors to this) on any ability to resist this self-declared national emergency constructed quickly upon selective copying out of a 24 hour global news cycle every report, step or statistic evidencing the urgent for immediate, drastic action. The health demands they make up the nation, which in retirement is completely divorced from any direct concern about their job or impact upon GDP and is totally in tune with their daily routine fact of “staying home”.

3. The dominance of the medical establishment by a new longevity ethos, a by-product in The First World of post-industrial economies where hazardous work like coal mining giving away to short periods of retirement no longer exist. Along with other changes in the global economy, such as the easy availability of low skilled immigrant labour and the import of most manufactured goods, a perversion of the previous relationship between “clinical assessment of need” and “the place of productivity” is now in full reverse.

Savings in old age retirement are while still only a claim upon the nation’s future GDP, the dominance of import over nearly all consumption for those in retirement (including labour in care homes) means their collective wealth, the collective claim upon those in retirement upon the nation’s future GDP, has a new political importance divorced from their lack of role in any productivity. The medical establishment, by logical extension of new longevity ethos, already flexed their considerable their new powers to ban smoking in public transport, workplaces and pubs. Despite the fact tobacco controls measures do not save the country money, quite the contrary given the large part of the retail tobacco price is government added tax and that a shortish, productive life adds to the GDP while great longevity makes additional demands on it as diseases in retirement such as Alzheimer increase, the medical establishment have politicized their own ethics and justified distorting both the methodologies in statistical reporting and financial calculations to suit their ultimate ethical aim of increasing longevity, generally disregarding their own ethics to try use their own judgement to include other factors which might negatively modify their dedication to deliver their new ethos as set by statistical targets. It is what generally happens when you politicize your ethics, certain very important truths get left behind as you strive to hit targets. It is no coincidence that most of the public health experts dedicated to implementing, monitoring and prolonging The UK lockdown have extensively constructed their talents upon implementing a staggered process of draconian tobacco control measures in The UK. Even Germany relaxed their initial all out tobacco ban in public spaces, giving choice back to venue owners.

The new political importance of the baby boomers entering retirement risks revolutionary upheaval based on two factors:

A. Their savings wealth (house values and pension pots) were only saved at an enormous cost to the government in the crisis 2008. This represents an enormous transfer of wealth between generations, since their money was earnt but then mostly lost and then, since the savings of those in retirement is only a claim upon the nation’s future GDP, lent by those alone who can generate sufficient future GDP to meet the claims of the retired upon it by the intermediary of government agency the wealth back again so they can unduly influence from their retirement political decisions on how the future economy is structured so sufficient GDP is earned to meet their claims in retirement. This has created a very positive, systemically undemocratic feedback loop, between the retired and working populations that is between the baby boomers entering retirement and all the other generations below.

B. The age demographic time bomb, long predicted to occur as baby boomers entered retirement, is propelled onward as an even more dangerous occurrence by the now entrenched dominance in the medical establishment of the longevity ethos (for instance the term “health fascism” is no longer used as a new normality is no longer resisted). The argument that the rescue of the banks in the crisis of 2008 was necessary to prevent total collapse could be endlessly debated, however the real debate should be whether the “baby boomers” acknowledge this transfer of wealth, and thus the power over future decision making on the economy, between generations was real enough and if so how does it fit for their plans within retirement to defuse the age demographic time bomb rather than push their claims upon the nation’s future GDP until that inter-generational fairness bomb between generations explodes? This is why the political importance of the baby boomers entering retirement could be said to be potentially revolutionary.

The continuance of the primacy of the longevity ethos now fully dominating the medical establishment is the front line in this inter-generational conflict. I would argue that global lockdown, or more specifically the twitter-storm that pushed a Prime-ministerial decision from no lockdown to lockdown within 24 hours was the first shot in it. While this is referred easily to being a global lockdown it really was only an Italian-French lockdown, until The UK capitulated. Generation-X, the one after that of the baby boomers will have a particularly important future role in defusing this time bomb because the most effective way to unwrap the medical establishment’s perversion of the longevity ethos to cause a reversal in the “clinical assessment of need” back to directly correlation to “the place of productivity” (namely some role in it) is through returning to the mixed-economy of The Keynesian economic model. The age of Generation-X, having no doubt encountered either directly or through reports of others, the remit of biological psychiatry within the medical establishment to treat mental illness or distress as purely rooted in an individuals biology rather than caused by environmental factors as the “full employment model” of Keynesian theory empowers the medical establishment to concern itself with.

The dominance of the medical establishment by a new “happily productive” ethos, or whatever more scientifically that might called as the path to victory stands out clearly from the mix of the complex economic policy decisions that must be decided upon to achieve such a goal, is the inevitable end result although another global lockdown may be anticipated and the planning to meet that energetically from within and batter our way out is the best opportunity Generation-X can prepare for. The medical establishment generally does not know anti-psychiatry, although it has several other names, but baby boomers do so well as without the work of R.D. Laing and Dr Cooper (both anti-psychiatry psychiatrists) in London for instance in 1967, or gurus such as Timothy Leary or philosophers such as Thomas Szasz their “flower power” generation would have never had their hippy decade. The main sales point is that Monetarism, as demonstrated by the crash of 2008, has reached a natural effective end of term as a useful economic model and without further work specifically on the Philips curve (which experience shows exhibits an unforeseen ratchet effect, one that cannot be undone while still using such a system).

The Philips curve is that which explains the relationship between inflation and employment. The various categories of unemployment types, part of the redesign of the neo-classical model it is derived from, was never foreseen to be capable of producing more than 3 million mentally ill in community care (with all the associated costs related to housing, income, health and loss of productive contribution to the economy) whilst the official recorded level would be kept under 1 million. This is the bargaining chip between Generation-X and the Baby Boomers, for their future claim upon the nation’s GDP can be affected by inflation, a fall in the value of pound sterling and even a wealth tax (to name but a few factors). Generation-X will have not only the power of greatest insight into psychiatry, the first generation to have only known Monetarism and not the 1970’s and longest time-served in terms of surviving it (or not in terms of personally and their networks). Anti-psychiatry is also more thoroughly military by nature, an internal construct towards national intelligence pivoting towards subject such as telepathy (Aldous Huxley), some slightly oddball experiments than can be more about team building and a mark of belligerence towards what R.D. Laing called the “medical-legal-pharmaceutical conspiracy” and most importantly of all a legal remit to experiment with any drug under the sun, although obviously reporting to a chain of command.

So it was for instance that pharmaceutical company Sandoz distributed LSD to psychiatrists to experiment on patients to seek a cure for LSD, the reported results being analysed under the MK Ultra program. Given the prevalence of cannabis and this unproductive drug of choice for leisure use, the opposite choice of amphetamines or similar such stimulants (used extensively throughout World War II with great regularity in many of the armed services on both sides and also prescribed by GP’s until its banning in the 1970’s) it would more likely be this topic that anti-psychiatrists in the new era would dedicated their attention to and by a mix of trial and error attempt to fulfill the government’s goal under a Keynesian “full employment” ethos meet that.

Alternatively the Baby Boomers may continue in their economic dominance, indeed quite likely that is, from within retirement to shape the economy but the tax burden of so many welfare dependent citizens as the medical establishment has manufactured under Monetarism’s liberal allowance to do so by manipulation of the central Philips curve (the ratchet effect) is that the value of their wealth while it can be asserted boldly as the rightful collective claim upon those in retirement upon the nation’s future GDP, it has no means to rid itself of the budgetary burden so many unproductive community care patients create. That can in the short term be ignored by the importation of food, manufactured goods and low skilled labour but the value of pound sterling, in which the cost of all our imports are calculated will be a strong dissuasion to address this is the medium. It is probably premature to think the process of leaving The EU will establish some type of limit on the availability of low skilled labour by new regulations alone. While some mopping up of transitional unemployment will occur and wages may rise slightly due to the ability to limit supply factors, the commanding wealth of the Baby Boomers would over-ride most attempts to control that alone by quotas and other fixed measures.

If there is one things good about the free market it is that it’s flexible nature over-rides quickly most so measures. The only real change The EU exit will bring in terms of labour supply is in hastening the move of the UK economy into a new Keynesian model where anti-psychiatry and the “military by nature” internal report chain of command it must have to work with the medical establishment beyond the strict political oversight of regular government departments. That is to get a big majority of the 3 million community care patients where possible off the unproductive pharmaceutical currently prescribed when in with co-operation of governmental departments concerned with industrial or scientific policy there are suitable jobs for them they would like to do. That is full employment and not everyone will fit but it is a long way from Monetarists’s mantra that intelligent people must train for the jobs international comparative advantages tells our country to do (mainly financial or clerical accountancy, although now increasingly social media) rather than government to bypass the role of banking and use the net difference between tax take and welfare spend to create jobs (which may be at less than full market worth) but preferable in terms of the accumulated burden upon the current system of the medical establishment having faithfully turned out 3 million community care patients and rising to fit the associated re-definition of psychiatry to the biological illness model that Monetarism required of it.

Therefore the great unknown, the jostle between the economic consequences of the UK’s first lockdown and the possible more to follow, is what type of increase government bond interest rate will be required once a final tally of both the rise in the national debt % to GDP is known and the prospects of The UK government hitting the target of a balanced budget (namely no further deficits leading to an increase in the total national debt) within 3 years?

The international credit markets will calculate those based on a compilation of a variety of reports, something neither side in the inter-generational conflict can dictate this time around. In the expectation there will be at least a second lockdown, a guesstimate in 3 to 5 years time, both sides will be aware of the need for the management of damage limitations. Those will of course be contradictory assessments of needs, being the Baby Boomers who will use the power of their collective claim upon the nation’s future GDP to argue, to implement the next lockdown as part of their collective claim upon the nation’s future GDP, which will rapidly if not stopped become a proxy for their more important generational ambition which is to establish their unduly merited influence, from retirement, over political decisions on how the UK’s future economy. Their more important generational ambition is not their collective claim upon the nation’s future GDP, as is normal for any generation in retirement.

In a democracy where it is assumed one person one vote is without a prerequisite intention to be economically active (a prisoner has no vote) and being able to predict the continuation of “a free at point of use NHS” to fully absorb their rising health cost associated with growing old age for certainly the next decade, their primary ambition is simply to further the new longevity ethos of The medical establishment for there own selfish, collective purpose, namely to retain political dominion for as long as their number will allow it via the ballot box.

For this reason alone Generation-X should expect Baby Boomers first real negotiating position is to seek perhaps 4 or 5 further lockdowns on The UK to limit the impact of season flu (or whatever variety is detected) separated by between 3 to 5 year periods. They will expect to pay for the privilege although unlike those voting from the position of being of belonging to the nation’s productive capacity it is their retention of their numbers as a collective voting block than their immediate collective claim upon the nation’s future GDP. This where the generational ambition to establish “unduly merited influence”, from retirement, over political decisions on how the UK’s future economy operates is the key to the transition of our economy to the new Keynesian system. The goal of full employment is not likely to be of interest to them although the reduction in the overall spend on welfare will be a “nice to have” for them. They will be aligned to the role of anti-psychiatry in the process of the Keynesian system, having been familiar with it during the 1960’s and many of their gurus such as Timothy Leary being still legends to them, something which can not only be emphasized during negotiations but can be used, discretely without alarming them, to separate their position slightly from the knowledge base of The medical establishment (which has largely expunged the importance of it) but without letting slip any intention to do so will weaken the new longevity ethos.

Indeed there is no reason to not suggest such a separation might further the new longevity ethos, in a range of way such as state industries producing robotics to greater contact with care workers speaking native English once the benefits of full employment remove intelligent people from the biological illness model to participate in the economy in wider ways. However it is worth remembering that the duty of Generation-X, negotiating for younger generations below it, is that this “unduly merited influence” is derived from the transfer of wealth from the young to the old as a product of the banking rescue of 2008. There are thus some sticks that can be waved. A wealth tax is one. Transforming the NHS to a CHS (Child Health Service) is another. This concept needs exceptional focus on because the actual naming methodology is unimportant, it could be just the “new, super-improved NHS on offer” but the fundamental calculation over the next 10 to 15 years being made by Baby Boomers is that their rising health care costs are paid for by the state, the very fact which allows them not to concentrate on the usual new retiree focus of a collective claim upon the nation’s future GDP but on a collective claim upon the nation’s future GDP spent on furthering the longevity ethos of The medical establishment. That is of course now prioritized, within the short term, to establishing further lockdowns on The UK to limit the impact of flu’s threat to their number.

A variety of predictable priorities can be derived from this, the most obvious being they will buy in politicians to the concept, no matter the short term economic damage, by funding environmental groups specifically aligned to support the environmental logic of further global lockdowns. The priority of left-wing Keynesian economics is simply to get the new system in which ultimately must be a joint anglo-american effort since the model for Internet governance reform is only once that The USA, Icann’s home, can authorise. Baby Boomers are of course a world-wide First World phenomenon, so the opportunity the “unduly merited influence” Baby Boomers will seek, caring less about their collective claim upon the nation’s future GDP in the medium term (10 to 15 years) and more about asserting their collective claim upon the nation’s future GDP spend on medical sciences longevity technology (including lockdown) is something that can and should be quickly leveraged.

On principle a global lockdown is dangerously stupid to the point of genocidal (wide open to extraterrestrial invasion if not entirely of our own genius, implausible but a small catastrophic risk in itself to warrant prohibition) but there will be those who think the risk warranted. Those who believe we should invest in an atomic space race program would probably observe the tipping of an advanced civilization not yet interstellar, as we are, into a global lockdown prior to invasion at the best predetermined point of vulnerability during the second lockdown would fit fell within the space academy’s ABC guide to “the art of war”, the first lockdown being triggered to observe the points of vulnerability. The issue on the possible role of wireless signals to induce further compliance with the mantra “stay home, stay safe” through amplification of our response to fear is one of the very first experiments that the anti-psychiatry field within a new Keynesian economy should attend to. It is the presence of mobile phones in our hands, inches from our brains, that is a significant departure from past circumstances when the field was last open to a plethora of such experiments to eliminate the unknown.

Of course there is never such a thing as a total global lockdown, Daniel Ortega in Nicaragua said “no”! It will be for Generation-X to observe and predict how these factors described within will manifest themselves in their influence over future government policy and of course the great unknown, upon which the vast majority of decisions must be made, is “what type of increase government bond interest rate will be required once a final tally of both the rise in the national debt % to GDP is known and the prospects of The UK government hitting the target of a balanced budget (namely no further deficits leading to an increase in the total national debt) within 3 years?” It beholds us, Generation-X, to remember we are the heroes in this, prepared to wage war against the Baby Boomers to protect the generations below. The war waged is often economic, psychiatric or legal. Again as R.D. Laing coined it “the medical-legal-pharmaceutical” conspiracy. I would not want to repeat the sticks, there are many.

A final word of caution on the big stick, a one-off wealth tax above a certain savings threshold designed to get the national debt down to the level where government bond interest rates fall, should a crisis demand it. This would certainly address square on the pump-priming this “unduly merited influence” in the 2008 banking crisis adds to the peak of all our inter-generational conflict with Baby-Boomers but it is a blunt hammer (across all generations, weakening our own allies) and more importantly, even if it could be politically worked into government policy (rather than be forced upon them by external necessity unrelated to the planning foresight being discussed here) then it suffers from the enormous theoretical weakness of a threat “if it ever needs used”. It is still vital to contemplate its use as a re-address of the “unduly merited influence”, which will allow Baby Boomers, if left unchecked, to schedule multiple lockdowns over the next two decades from an enormous position of power and influence from within retirement.

Baby boomer can buy the environmental lobbies into it and provided pound sterling does not collapse they have no need of any generation below it, from generation-X downwards. They can import food, labour, manufactured goods and maintain social order by continued use of Monetarists biological mental illness model and hang the expense, the community care model can certainly absorb a few more million! We need therefore to keep a close eye on what is a pure anathema to Generation-X, “the collective claim on the nation’s future % GDP budget allocated to spend on longevity medical sciences”. We should sneak a carrot there before their noses and lead these donkeys off a cliff, not that donkeys are stupid and nor would Baby Boomers fail to see it.

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Donald Fraser

Writer of social science philosophy. Amateur interest in physics related to atomic propulsion to stars. Advocate of additional relativity equation G=√(MC²)A²